The Late Show With Stephen Colbert leads trader sentiment at 80% implied probability due to its record nine nominations in a final season, following its 2025 win in the prior talk series category and the emotional momentum of a high-profile send-off after CBS canceled the program. Recent Creative Arts Emmy victories in writing, directing, and technical categories have reinforced its frontrunner status ahead of the September 14 ceremony. The newly merged Outstanding Variety Series category operates as an “area” award, where nominees are judged independently against a high approval threshold rather than head-to-head, allowing voter consensus to reward legacy and peak recognition. Competitors like Last Week Tonight With John Oliver and Jimmy Kimmel Live! trail significantly, lacking comparable nomination volume or farewell narrative.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日エミー2026 ：傑出したバラエティシリーズ
エミー2026 ：傑出したバラエティシリーズ
ザ・レイト・ショー・ウィズ・スティーブン・コルベア 80%
ジョン・オリバーのラスト・ウィーク・トゥナイト 8.0%
「ジミー・キンメル・ライブ！」 5.1%
サタデー・ナイト・ライブ 2.1%
$117,256 Vol.
$117,256 Vol.
2026/09/14
ザ・レイト・ショー・ウィズ・スティーブン・コルベア
80%
ジョン・オリバーのラスト・ウィーク・トゥナイト
8%
「ジミー・キンメル・ライブ！」
5%
サタデー・ナイト・ライブ
2%
「ザ・デイリー・ショー」
2%
ザ・レイト・ショー・ウィズ・スティーブン・コルベア 80%
ジョン・オリバーのラスト・ウィーク・トゥナイト 8.0%
「ジミー・キンメル・ライブ！」 5.1%
サタデー・ナイト・ライブ 2.1%
$117,256 Vol.
$117,256 Vol.
2026/09/14
ザ・レイト・ショー・ウィズ・スティーブン・コルベア
$39,150 Vol.
80%
ジョン・オリバーのラスト・ウィーク・トゥナイト
$21,586 Vol.
8%
「ジミー・キンメル・ライブ！」
$27,079 Vol.
5%
サタデー・ナイト・ライブ
$13,981 Vol.
2%
「ザ・デイリー・ショー」
$15,461 Vol.
2%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Late Show With Stephen Colbert leads trader sentiment at 80% implied probability due to its record nine nominations in a final season, following its 2025 win in the prior talk series category and the emotional momentum of a high-profile send-off after CBS canceled the program. Recent Creative Arts Emmy victories in writing, directing, and technical categories have reinforced its frontrunner status ahead of the September 14 ceremony. The newly merged Outstanding Variety Series category operates as an “area” award, where nominees are judged independently against a high approval threshold rather than head-to-head, allowing voter consensus to reward legacy and peak recognition. Competitors like Last Week Tonight With John Oliver and Jimmy Kimmel Live! trail significantly, lacking comparable nomination volume or farewell narrative.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ET
音量
$117,256終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Late Show With Stephen Colbert leads trader sentiment at 80% implied probability due to its record nine nominations in a final season, following its 2025 win in the prior talk series category and the emotional momentum of a high-profile send-off after CBS canceled the program. Recent Creative Arts Emmy victories in writing, directing, and technical categories have reinforced its frontrunner status ahead of the September 14 ceremony. The newly merged Outstanding Variety Series category operates as an “area” award, where nominees are judged independently against a high approval threshold rather than head-to-head, allowing voter consensus to reward legacy and peak recognition. Competitors like Last Week Tonight With John Oliver and Jimmy Kimmel Live! trail significantly, lacking comparable nomination volume or farewell narrative.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$117,256終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Late Show With Stephen Colbert leads trader sentiment at 80% implied probability due to its record nine nominations in a final season, following its 2025 win in the prior talk series category and the emotional momentum of a high-profile send-off after CBS canceled the program. Recent Creative Arts Emmy victories in writing, directing, and technical categories have reinforced its frontrunner status ahead of the September 14 ceremony. The newly merged Outstanding Variety Series category operates as an “area” award, where nominees are judged independently against a high approval threshold rather than head-to-head, allowing voter consensus to reward legacy and peak recognition. Competitors like Last Week Tonight With John Oliver and Jimmy Kimmel Live! trail significantly, lacking comparable nomination volume or farewell narrative.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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