The Pitt’s commanding 95.9% market-implied probability stems from its status as the defending Outstanding Drama Series champion and its industry-leading 25 nominations for season two, including multiple acting, writing, and directing nods that underscore broad guild and critic support. The HBO Max medical procedural’s realistic single-shift format, strong ratings trajectory, and repeat recognition for Noah Wyle and Katherine LaNasa have solidified trader consensus around its frontrunner momentum heading into the September 14 ceremony. While an upset remains possible if late guild results or voter fatigue shift sentiment toward contenders like Pluribus or The Diplomat, the volume of precursor signals and nomination dominance make a repeat victory the overwhelming skin-in-the-game expectation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日エミー2026 ：優れたドラマシリーズ
エミー2026 ：優れたドラマシリーズ
「The Pitt」 95.8%
ザ・ディプロマット 1.3%
七王国の騎士 1.3%
「パラダイス」 1.2%
$36,972 Vol.
$36,972 Vol.
2026/09/14
「The Pitt」
96%
ザ・ディプロマット
1%
七王国の騎士
1%
「パラダイス」
1%
「Your Friends & Neighbors」
1%
「ギルデッド・エイジ」
1%
スロー・ホース
<1%
「The Pitt」 95.8%
ザ・ディプロマット 1.3%
七王国の騎士 1.3%
「パラダイス」 1.2%
$36,972 Vol.
$36,972 Vol.
2026/09/14
「The Pitt」
$29,039 Vol.
96%
ザ・ディプロマット
$969 Vol.
1%
七王国の騎士
$970 Vol.
1%
「パラダイス」
$1,080 Vol.
1%
「Your Friends & Neighbors」
$1,356 Vol.
1%
「ギルデッド・エイジ」
$1,044 Vol.
1%
スロー・ホース
$2,514 Vol.
<1%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Pitt’s commanding 95.9% market-implied probability stems from its status as the defending Outstanding Drama Series champion and its industry-leading 25 nominations for season two, including multiple acting, writing, and directing nods that underscore broad guild and critic support. The HBO Max medical procedural’s realistic single-shift format, strong ratings trajectory, and repeat recognition for Noah Wyle and Katherine LaNasa have solidified trader consensus around its frontrunner momentum heading into the September 14 ceremony. While an upset remains possible if late guild results or voter fatigue shift sentiment toward contenders like Pluribus or The Diplomat, the volume of precursor signals and nomination dominance make a repeat victory the overwhelming skin-in-the-game expectation.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jul 10, 2026, 10:18 AM ET
音量
$36,972終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Jul 10, 2026, 10:18 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Pitt’s commanding 95.9% market-implied probability stems from its status as the defending Outstanding Drama Series champion and its industry-leading 25 nominations for season two, including multiple acting, writing, and directing nods that underscore broad guild and critic support. The HBO Max medical procedural’s realistic single-shift format, strong ratings trajectory, and repeat recognition for Noah Wyle and Katherine LaNasa have solidified trader consensus around its frontrunner momentum heading into the September 14 ceremony. While an upset remains possible if late guild results or voter fatigue shift sentiment toward contenders like Pluribus or The Diplomat, the volume of precursor signals and nomination dominance make a repeat victory the overwhelming skin-in-the-game expectation.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$36,972終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Jul 10, 2026, 10:18 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Pitt’s commanding 95.9% market-implied probability stems from its status as the defending Outstanding Drama Series champion and its industry-leading 25 nominations for season two, including multiple acting, writing, and directing nods that underscore broad guild and critic support. The HBO Max medical procedural’s realistic single-shift format, strong ratings trajectory, and repeat recognition for Noah Wyle and Katherine LaNasa have solidified trader consensus around its frontrunner momentum heading into the September 14 ceremony. While an upset remains possible if late guild results or voter fatigue shift sentiment toward contenders like Pluribus or The Diplomat, the volume of precursor signals and nomination dominance make a repeat victory the overwhelming skin-in-the-game expectation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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