Spain enters the June 26, 2026, World Cup Group H clash in Guadalajara as the clear favorite at 63.5% implied probability, reflecting their status as Euro 2024 champions with superior squad depth, technical quality in midfield and attack, and a favorable recent record against South American sides. Uruguay sits at 15.5% despite Marcelo Bielsa’s organized, high-intensity style and threats from players such as Federico Valverde and Darwin Núñez, as the South Americans face a significant quality gap and must manage squad fitness after early group fixtures. The 22.5% draw price captures the competitive nature of the matchup, with both sides likely prioritizing qualification over an all-out win. Recent developments include Spain’s 0-0 stalemate against debutants Cape Verde, which may prompt rotation concerns, and Uruguay’s preparations around Ronald Araujo’s fitness timeline. Venue conditions in Mexico and group-stage implications further support the current trader consensus reflected in the pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日If Uruguay wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
マーケット開始日: Apr 6, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
If Uruguay wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
マーケット開始日: Apr 6, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
Spain enters the June 26, 2026, World Cup Group H clash in Guadalajara as the clear favorite at 63.5% implied probability, reflecting their status as Euro 2024 champions with superior squad depth, technical quality in midfield and attack, and a favorable recent record against South American sides. Uruguay sits at 15.5% despite Marcelo Bielsa’s organized, high-intensity style and threats from players such as Federico Valverde and Darwin Núñez, as the South Americans face a significant quality gap and must manage squad fitness after early group fixtures. The 22.5% draw price captures the competitive nature of the matchup, with both sides likely prioritizing qualification over an all-out win. Recent developments include Spain’s 0-0 stalemate against debutants Cape Verde, which may prompt rotation concerns, and Uruguay’s preparations around Ronald Araujo’s fitness timeline. Venue conditions in Mexico and group-stage implications further support the current trader consensus reflected in the pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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