France enters the 2026 World Cup Group I as the overwhelming market favorite at 68.5% implied probability, driven by its status as a two-time recent champion, top FIFA ranking, and exceptional squad depth featuring Kylian Mbappé alongside creative attackers like Ousmane Dembélé and Michael Olise. Recent official squad announcements and strong pre-tournament form have reinforced trader confidence in Les Bleus topping the group ahead of the June 16 opener against Senegal. Norway sits second at 21.5% on the strength of Erling Haaland and Martin Ødegaard’s attacking firepower, though limited experience against elite opposition caps its upside. Senegal holds 10.5% with its organized defense and prior World Cup pedigree, while Iraq remains a distant 1.1% longshot despite disciplined organization under its coach. The group’s “group of death” label reflects these mismatches, with France’s consistency positioning it to advance first barring major injuries.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日フランス 69%
ノルウェー 22%
セネガル 11%
イラク 1.1%
$191,116 Vol.
$191,116 Vol.
フランス
69%
ノルウェー
22%
セネガル
11%
イラク
1%
フランス 69%
ノルウェー 22%
セネガル 11%
イラク 1.1%
$191,116 Vol.
$191,116 Vol.
フランス
69%
ノルウェー
22%
セネガル
11%
イラク
1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...France enters the 2026 World Cup Group I as the overwhelming market favorite at 68.5% implied probability, driven by its status as a two-time recent champion, top FIFA ranking, and exceptional squad depth featuring Kylian Mbappé alongside creative attackers like Ousmane Dembélé and Michael Olise. Recent official squad announcements and strong pre-tournament form have reinforced trader confidence in Les Bleus topping the group ahead of the June 16 opener against Senegal. Norway sits second at 21.5% on the strength of Erling Haaland and Martin Ødegaard’s attacking firepower, though limited experience against elite opposition caps its upside. Senegal holds 10.5% with its organized defense and prior World Cup pedigree, while Iraq remains a distant 1.1% longshot despite disciplined organization under its coach. The group’s “group of death” label reflects these mismatches, with France’s consistency positioning it to advance first barring major injuries.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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