**Flu activity follows strong seasonal patterns, with hospitalization rates typically reaching their annual minimum during summer months due to reduced transmission in warmer conditions and lower viral circulation.** Week 31 (August 2–8, 2026) falls squarely in this off-season period, when CDC FluSurv-NET data have consistently shown weekly rates at or below 0.1 per 100,000 population in recent comparable weeks (e.g., 0.1 in Week 21 and minimal activity reported through Week 29–30). Current surveillance indicates continued low influenza circulation nationally, with no atypical summer outbreaks or shifts in reporting that would elevate rates. Traders assign the highest implied probability (81.5%) to <0.1, reflecting this established climatological and epidemiological baseline; the lower probabilities for =0.1 (25.0%) or >0.1 (45.0%) align with the narrow historical range for summer weeks and the absence of near-term catalysts such as unusual variants or surveillance anomalies. Updated CDC FluView data for Week 31, expected shortly after resolution, will confirm the final rate.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日インフルエンザ入院率2026年第31週？
インフルエンザ入院率2026年第31週？
>0.1 91%
0.1未満 79%
0.1 19%
新規
新規
2026/08/14
0.1未満
82%
0.1
24%
>0.1
91%
>0.1 91%
0.1未満 79%
0.1 19%
新規
新規
2026/08/14
0.1未満
$100 Vol.
82%
0.1
$40 Vol.
24%
>0.1
$173 Vol.
91%
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.**Flu activity follows strong seasonal patterns, with hospitalization rates typically reaching their annual minimum during summer months due to reduced transmission in warmer conditions and lower viral circulation.** Week 31 (August 2–8, 2026) falls squarely in this off-season period, when CDC FluSurv-NET data have consistently shown weekly rates at or below 0.1 per 100,000 population in recent comparable weeks (e.g., 0.1 in Week 21 and minimal activity reported through Week 29–30).
Current surveillance indicates continued low influenza circulation nationally, with no atypical summer outbreaks or shifts in reporting that would elevate rates. Traders assign the highest implied probability (81.5%) to <0.1, reflecting this established climatological and epidemiological baseline; the lower probabilities for =0.1 (25.0%) or >0.1 (45.0%) align with the narrow historical range for summer weeks and the absence of near-term catalysts such as unusual variants or surveillance anomalies. Updated CDC FluView data for Week 31, expected shortly after resolution, will confirm the final rate.
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
マーケット開始日： Aug 8, 2026, 12:08 PM ET
音量
$313終了日
2026/08/14マーケット開始日
Aug 8, 2026, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.**Flu activity follows strong seasonal patterns, with hospitalization rates typically reaching their annual minimum during summer months due to reduced transmission in warmer conditions and lower viral circulation.** Week 31 (August 2–8, 2026) falls squarely in this off-season period, when CDC FluSurv-NET data have consistently shown weekly rates at or below 0.1 per 100,000 population in recent comparable weeks (e.g., 0.1 in Week 21 and minimal activity reported through Week 29–30).
Current surveillance indicates continued low influenza circulation nationally, with no atypical summer outbreaks or shifts in reporting that would elevate rates. Traders assign the highest implied probability (81.5%) to <0.1, reflecting this established climatological and epidemiological baseline; the lower probabilities for =0.1 (25.0%) or >0.1 (45.0%) align with the narrow historical range for summer weeks and the absence of near-term catalysts such as unusual variants or surveillance anomalies. Updated CDC FluView data for Week 31, expected shortly after resolution, will confirm the final rate.
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
音量
$313終了日
2026/08/14マーケット開始日
Aug 8, 2026, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Flu activity follows strong seasonal patterns, with hospitalization rates typically reaching their annual minimum during summer months due to reduced transmission in warmer conditions and lower viral circulation.** Week 31 (August 2–8, 2026) falls squarely in this off-season period, when CDC FluSurv-NET data have consistently shown weekly rates at or below 0.1 per 100,000 population in recent comparable weeks (e.g., 0.1 in Week 21 and minimal activity reported through Week 29–30). Current surveillance indicates continued low influenza circulation nationally, with no atypical summer outbreaks or shifts in reporting that would elevate rates. Traders assign the highest implied probability (81.5%) to <0.1, reflecting this established climatological and epidemiological baseline; the lower probabilities for =0.1 (25.0%) or >0.1 (45.0%) align with the narrow historical range for summer weeks and the absence of near-term catalysts such as unusual variants or surveillance anomalies. Updated CDC FluView data for Week 31, expected shortly after resolution, will confirm the final rate.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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