Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-certain close above $360 for Alphabet's GOOGL shares on May 1, 2026, with the >$360 outcome at 100% implied probability, reflecting the stock's midday trading around $384—well above the threshold—following a 34% April surge, its strongest monthly gain since 2004. This positioning stems from Q1 earnings on April 25 that crushed estimates, with Google Cloud revenue and YouTube advertising materially outperforming amid robust AI-driven demand, plus Alphabet's inaugural dividend declaration and buyback expansion boosting shareholder value. With markets closing in hours and historical intraday volatility low relative to the $20+ buffer, downside risks like a broad tech selloff or unforeseen negative headlines would need extreme magnitude to breach $360.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日360ドル超 100.0%
315ドル未満 <1%
$315~$320 <1%
$320~$325 <1%
$41,328 Vol.
$41,328 Vol.
315ドル未満
いいえ
$315~$320
いいえ
$320~$325
いいえ
$325-$330
No
$330-$335
No
$335〜$340
いいえ
340ドル~345ドル
いいえ
$345-$350
No
$350~$355
いいえ
$355-$360
No
360ドル超
はい
360ドル超 100.0%
315ドル未満 <1%
$315~$320 <1%
$320~$325 <1%
$41,328 Vol.
$41,328 Vol.
315ドル未満
いいえ
$315~$320
いいえ
$320~$325
いいえ
$325-$330
No
$330-$335
No
$335〜$340
いいえ
340ドル~345ドル
いいえ
$345-$350
No
$350~$355
いいえ
$355-$360
No
360ドル超
はい
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Google (GOOGL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOGL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
マーケット開始日: Apr 24, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Google (GOOGL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOGL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-certain close above $360 for Alphabet's GOOGL shares on May 1, 2026, with the >$360 outcome at 100% implied probability, reflecting the stock's midday trading around $384—well above the threshold—following a 34% April surge, its strongest monthly gain since 2004. This positioning stems from Q1 earnings on April 25 that crushed estimates, with Google Cloud revenue and YouTube advertising materially outperforming amid robust AI-driven demand, plus Alphabet's inaugural dividend declaration and buyback expansion boosting shareholder value. With markets closing in hours and historical intraday volatility low relative to the $20+ buffer, downside risks like a broad tech selloff or unforeseen negative headlines would need extreme magnitude to breach $360.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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