Traders have overwhelmingly priced 19°C as the highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 2 because ensemble forecasts from leading models consistently project a daytime maximum at that level under stable high-pressure conditions and light winds. Recent observational data show temperatures tracking closely with seasonal norms for early June, with minimal diurnal spread expected from current atmospheric stability. Official resolution rests on verified readings from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute, or KNMI, whose surface stations provide the authoritative measurement. While model consensus is strong, small changes in cloud cover, advection, or boundary-layer mixing could still shift the peak by a degree or two before the daily maximum is recorded.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 2?
19°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$87,272 Vol.
$87,272 Vol.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$87,272 Vol.
$87,272 Vol.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: May 31, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Traders have overwhelmingly priced 19°C as the highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 2 because ensemble forecasts from leading models consistently project a daytime maximum at that level under stable high-pressure conditions and light winds. Recent observational data show temperatures tracking closely with seasonal norms for early June, with minimal diurnal spread expected from current atmospheric stability. Official resolution rests on verified readings from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute, or KNMI, whose surface stations provide the authoritative measurement. While model consensus is strong, small changes in cloud cover, advection, or boundary-layer mixing could still shift the peak by a degree or two before the daily maximum is recorded.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問