Forecast consensus from meteorological models and agencies points to a high near 29°C in Ankara on August 14 under sunny skies with light northeasterly winds and low humidity. Recent runs show a cooling trend from mid-week peaks near 33°C, consistent with seasonal August averages of 28–30°C and the absence of blocking high pressure or Saharan air intrusions that could drive extremes. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 28–29°C outcomes because short-range ensembles exhibit tight clustering around these values, with minimal upside risk from urban heat island effects or downslope warming. Updated guidance expected from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF runs over the next 24 hours will likely anchor final resolution near this range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月14日のアンカラの最高気温は？
8月14日のアンカラの最高気温は？
28°C 46%
29°C 28%
27°C 16%
30°C 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/14
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
5%
27°C
16%
28°C
46%
29°C
28%
30°C
6%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
28°C 46%
29°C 28%
27°C 16%
30°C 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/14
23°C or below
$105 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$23 Vol.
1%
25°C
$5 Vol.
4%
26°C
$28 Vol.
5%
27°C
$43 Vol.
16%
28°C
$35 Vol.
46%
29°C
$55 Vol.
28%
30°C
$26 Vol.
6%
31°C
$67 Vol.
1%
32°C
$22 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$21 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from meteorological models and agencies points to a high near 29°C in Ankara on August 14 under sunny skies with light northeasterly winds and low humidity. Recent runs show a cooling trend from mid-week peaks near 33°C, consistent with seasonal August averages of 28–30°C and the absence of blocking high pressure or Saharan air intrusions that could drive extremes. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 28–29°C outcomes because short-range ensembles exhibit tight clustering around these values, with minimal upside risk from urban heat island effects or downslope warming. Updated guidance expected from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF runs over the next 24 hours will likely anchor final resolution near this range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
音量
$232終了日
2026/08/14マーケット開始日
Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from meteorological models and agencies points to a high near 29°C in Ankara on August 14 under sunny skies with light northeasterly winds and low humidity. Recent runs show a cooling trend from mid-week peaks near 33°C, consistent with seasonal August averages of 28–30°C and the absence of blocking high pressure or Saharan air intrusions that could drive extremes. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 28–29°C outcomes because short-range ensembles exhibit tight clustering around these values, with minimal upside risk from urban heat island effects or downslope warming. Updated guidance expected from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF runs over the next 24 hours will likely anchor final resolution near this range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$232終了日
2026/08/14マーケット開始日
Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETForecast consensus from meteorological models and agencies points to a high near 29°C in Ankara on August 14 under sunny skies with light northeasterly winds and low humidity. Recent runs show a cooling trend from mid-week peaks near 33°C, consistent with seasonal August averages of 28–30°C and the absence of blocking high pressure or Saharan air intrusions that could drive extremes. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 28–29°C outcomes because short-range ensembles exhibit tight clustering around these values, with minimal upside risk from urban heat island effects or downslope warming. Updated guidance expected from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF runs over the next 24 hours will likely anchor final resolution near this range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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