**Forecast consensus points to a high near 30°C on September 2 under mostly sunny skies and light variable winds, keeping the 28–32°C outcomes clustered near equal implied probability.** Clear conditions promote strong daytime radiative heating, while southerly flow transitioning to northwest winds may modulate boundary-layer mixing and the precise peak. Model runs show minor spread from subtle differences in timing of the wind shift and any thin high-cloud effects, with historical early-September maxima averaging around 28–30°C. Updated CMA or NMC guidance and the next model cycle will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月2日の北京の最高気温は？
9月2日の北京の最高気温は？
31°C 35%
30°C 28%
32°C 19%
29°C 15%
新規
新規
2026/09/02
25°C or below
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
3%
28°C
8%
29°C
15%
30°C
28%
31°C
35%
32°C
19%
33°C
5%
34°C
7%
35°C or higher
7%
31°C 35%
30°C 28%
32°C 19%
29°C 15%
新規
新規
2026/09/02
25°C or below
$5 Vol.
4%
26°C
$5 Vol.
4%
27°C
$0 Vol.
3%
28°C
$0 Vol.
8%
29°C
$0 Vol.
15%
30°C
$0 Vol.
28%
31°C
$10 Vol.
35%
32°C
$23 Vol.
19%
33°C
$0 Vol.
5%
34°C
$5 Vol.
7%
35°C or higher
$5 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus points to a high near 30°C on September 2 under mostly sunny skies and light variable winds, keeping the 28–32°C outcomes clustered near equal implied probability.** Clear conditions promote strong daytime radiative heating, while southerly flow transitioning to northwest winds may modulate boundary-layer mixing and the precise peak. Model runs show minor spread from subtle differences in timing of the wind shift and any thin high-cloud effects, with historical early-September maxima averaging around 28–30°C. Updated CMA or NMC guidance and the next model cycle will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$53終了日
2026/09/02マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus points to a high near 30°C on September 2 under mostly sunny skies and light variable winds, keeping the 28–32°C outcomes clustered near equal implied probability.** Clear conditions promote strong daytime radiative heating, while southerly flow transitioning to northwest winds may modulate boundary-layer mixing and the precise peak. Model runs show minor spread from subtle differences in timing of the wind shift and any thin high-cloud effects, with historical early-September maxima averaging around 28–30°C. Updated CMA or NMC guidance and the next model cycle will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$53終了日
2026/09/02マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Forecast consensus points to a high near 30°C on September 2 under mostly sunny skies and light variable winds, keeping the 28–32°C outcomes clustered near equal implied probability.** Clear conditions promote strong daytime radiative heating, while southerly flow transitioning to northwest winds may modulate boundary-layer mixing and the precise peak. Model runs show minor spread from subtle differences in timing of the wind shift and any thin high-cloud effects, with historical early-September maxima averaging around 28–30°C. Updated CMA or NMC guidance and the next model cycle will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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