Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Busan's highest temperature reaching exactly 24°C today, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast, which projects a daytime peak of 24°C under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds and moderate humidity limiting further warming. Current observations from KMA stations confirm morning temperatures climbing steadily toward this cap, consistent with regional ensemble model runs showing minimal convective activity and no heat advection from inland areas—aligning with May climatology where Busan averages highs of 22–24°C. Scenarios challenging this include prolonged solar insolation from unexpected clearing skies or microscale urban heating effects, potentially nudging readings to 25°C; KMA's evening update will provide final observational data for market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Busan on May 11?
Highest temperature in Busan on May 11?
24°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$40,620 Vol.
$40,620 Vol.
2026/05/11
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$40,620 Vol.
$40,620 Vol.
2026/05/11
16°C or below
$1,114 Vol.
No
17°C
$659 Vol.
No
18°C
$1,932 Vol.
No
19°C
$8,055 Vol.
No
20°C
$3,168 Vol.
No
21°C
$2,443 Vol.
No
22°C
$2,420 Vol.
No
23°C
$2,628 Vol.
No
24°C
$5,518 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$5,978 Vol.
No
26°C or higher
$6,705 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Busan's highest temperature reaching exactly 24°C today, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast, which projects a daytime peak of 24°C under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds and moderate humidity limiting further warming. Current observations from KMA stations confirm morning temperatures climbing steadily toward this cap, consistent with regional ensemble model runs showing minimal convective activity and no heat advection from inland areas—aligning with May climatology where Busan averages highs of 22–24°C. Scenarios challenging this include prolonged solar insolation from unexpected clearing skies or microscale urban heating effects, potentially nudging readings to 25°C; KMA's evening update will provide final observational data for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 9, 2026, 7:52 AM ET
音量
$40,620終了日
2026/05/11マーケット開始日
May 9, 2026, 7:52 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Busan's highest temperature reaching exactly 24°C today, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast, which projects a daytime peak of 24°C under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds and moderate humidity limiting further warming. Current observations from KMA stations confirm morning temperatures climbing steadily toward this cap, consistent with regional ensemble model runs showing minimal convective activity and no heat advection from inland areas—aligning with May climatology where Busan averages highs of 22–24°C. Scenarios challenging this include prolonged solar insolation from unexpected clearing skies or microscale urban heating effects, potentially nudging readings to 25°C; KMA's evening update will provide final observational data for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$40,620終了日
2026/05/11マーケット開始日
May 9, 2026, 7:52 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Busan's highest temperature reaching exactly 24°C today, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast, which projects a daytime peak of 24°C under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds and moderate humidity limiting further warming. Current observations from KMA stations confirm morning temperatures climbing steadily toward this cap, consistent with regional ensemble model runs showing minimal convective activity and no heat advection from inland areas—aligning with May climatology where Busan averages highs of 22–24°C. Scenarios challenging this include prolonged solar insolation from unexpected clearing skies or microscale urban heating effects, potentially nudging readings to 25°C; KMA's evening update will provide final observational data for market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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