Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast drives the market-implied 100% probability on a 21°C high in Busan today, projecting peak temperatures at Gimhae International Airport—the market's official resolution station—amid mostly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and 10-30% precipitation odds that cap warming through persistent moisture and reduced solar insolation. Current observations align with hourly model runs showing midday peaks near 21°C (feels-like 22°C), consistent with Busan's climatological May highs of 20-22°C and typical 1-2°C forecast errors. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks boosting surface heating or unforecast warm advection, though short-range ensembles indicate low risk; monitor real-time Gimhae data for intraday shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Busan on May 12?
Highest temperature in Busan on May 12?
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$103,001 Vol.
$103,001 Vol.
2026/05/12
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$103,001 Vol.
$103,001 Vol.
2026/05/12
15°C or below
$1,843 Vol.
No
16°C
$1,879 Vol.
No
17°C
$8,162 Vol.
No
18°C
$12,308 Vol.
No
19°C
$10,839 Vol.
No
20°C
$15,170 Vol.
No
21°C
$12,024 Vol.
Yes
22°C
$14,660 Vol.
No
23°C
$7,712 Vol.
No
24°C
$8,501 Vol.
No
25°C or higher
$9,905 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast drives the market-implied 100% probability on a 21°C high in Busan today, projecting peak temperatures at Gimhae International Airport—the market's official resolution station—amid mostly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and 10-30% precipitation odds that cap warming through persistent moisture and reduced solar insolation. Current observations align with hourly model runs showing midday peaks near 21°C (feels-like 22°C), consistent with Busan's climatological May highs of 20-22°C and typical 1-2°C forecast errors. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks boosting surface heating or unforecast warm advection, though short-range ensembles indicate low risk; monitor real-time Gimhae data for intraday shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
音量
$103,001終了日
2026/05/12マーケット開始日
May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast drives the market-implied 100% probability on a 21°C high in Busan today, projecting peak temperatures at Gimhae International Airport—the market's official resolution station—amid mostly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and 10-30% precipitation odds that cap warming through persistent moisture and reduced solar insolation. Current observations align with hourly model runs showing midday peaks near 21°C (feels-like 22°C), consistent with Busan's climatological May highs of 20-22°C and typical 1-2°C forecast errors. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks boosting surface heating or unforecast warm advection, though short-range ensembles indicate low risk; monitor real-time Gimhae data for intraday shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$103,001終了日
2026/05/12マーケット開始日
May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast drives the market-implied 100% probability on a 21°C high in Busan today, projecting peak temperatures at Gimhae International Airport—the market's official resolution station—amid mostly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and 10-30% precipitation odds that cap warming through persistent moisture and reduced solar insolation. Current observations align with hourly model runs showing midday peaks near 21°C (feels-like 22°C), consistent with Busan's climatological May highs of 20-22°C and typical 1-2°C forecast errors. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks boosting surface heating or unforecast warm advection, though short-range ensembles indicate low risk; monitor real-time Gimhae data for intraday shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問