Trader consensus on a 30°C high for Chengdu on June 9 stems from meteorological model runs and observational data aligning closely with the city's June climatology, where average daily maxima reach 28–30°C amid rising humidity and monsoon influences. Official guidance from agencies tracking regional patterns shows steering flows and atmospheric stability favoring this exact threshold, with minimal deviation expected in the final hours before resolution. Historical records confirm June highs cluster tightly around 29°C on average, supporting the market's strong positioning. Only a rapid influx of cooler air, heavy rainfall, or unmodeled intensification of subtropical highs could realistically shift the outcome outside this narrow band.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 9?
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$60,835 Vol.
$60,835 Vol.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$60,835 Vol.
$60,835 Vol.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 7, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on a 30°C high for Chengdu on June 9 stems from meteorological model runs and observational data aligning closely with the city's June climatology, where average daily maxima reach 28–30°C amid rising humidity and monsoon influences. Official guidance from agencies tracking regional patterns shows steering flows and atmospheric stability favoring this exact threshold, with minimal deviation expected in the final hours before resolution. Historical records confirm June highs cluster tightly around 29°C on average, supporting the market's strong positioning. Only a rapid influx of cooler air, heavy rainfall, or unmodeled intensification of subtropical highs could realistically shift the outcome outside this narrow band.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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