Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport, the market's resolution source via China Meteorological Administration data, confirm the highest temperature reached 23°C on May 3, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover and light showers, evident in recent METAR reports with afternoon readings around 19-22°C, suppressed solar insolation and convective warming, yielding a cooler-than-average day—early May norms hover near 26°C based on historical baselines. This positioning reflects verified station measurements over preliminary forecasts. Realistic challenges are negligible, limited to rare data revisions from quality audits, with final CMA bulletins expected imminently to solidify resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 3?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 3?
23°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$77,312 Vol.
$77,312 Vol.
2026/05/03
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$77,312 Vol.
$77,312 Vol.
2026/05/03
19°C or below
$5,025 Vol.
No
20°C
$7,111 Vol.
No
21°C
$10,681 Vol.
No
22°C
$16,155 Vol.
No
23°C
$7,186 Vol.
Yes
24°C
$5,805 Vol.
No
25°C
$4,291 Vol.
No
26°C
$7,115 Vol.
No
27°C
$4,490 Vol.
No
28°C
$5,580 Vol.
No
29°C or higher
$3,874 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport, the market's resolution source via China Meteorological Administration data, confirm the highest temperature reached 23°C on May 3, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover and light showers, evident in recent METAR reports with afternoon readings around 19-22°C, suppressed solar insolation and convective warming, yielding a cooler-than-average day—early May norms hover near 26°C based on historical baselines. This positioning reflects verified station measurements over preliminary forecasts. Realistic challenges are negligible, limited to rare data revisions from quality audits, with final CMA bulletins expected imminently to solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 1, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
音量
$77,312終了日
2026/05/03マーケット開始日
May 1, 2026, 12:36 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport, the market's resolution source via China Meteorological Administration data, confirm the highest temperature reached 23°C on May 3, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover and light showers, evident in recent METAR reports with afternoon readings around 19-22°C, suppressed solar insolation and convective warming, yielding a cooler-than-average day—early May norms hover near 26°C based on historical baselines. This positioning reflects verified station measurements over preliminary forecasts. Realistic challenges are negligible, limited to rare data revisions from quality audits, with final CMA bulletins expected imminently to solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$77,312終了日
2026/05/03マーケット開始日
May 1, 2026, 12:36 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport, the market's resolution source via China Meteorological Administration data, confirm the highest temperature reached 23°C on May 3, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover and light showers, evident in recent METAR reports with afternoon readings around 19-22°C, suppressed solar insolation and convective warming, yielding a cooler-than-average day—early May norms hover near 26°C based on historical baselines. This positioning reflects verified station measurements over preliminary forecasts. Realistic challenges are negligible, limited to rare data revisions from quality audits, with final CMA bulletins expected imminently to solidify resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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