Uncertainty in 48-hour forecasts for Chongqing, driven by variable monsoon moisture and cloud cover, underpins the closely matched market odds around 26–28°C. Regional models show a subtropical high maintaining warm advection, yet scattered showers and higher humidity could cap daytime maxima below typical June averages of 30–31°C. Urban heat island effects and terrain in the Sichuan Basin amplify sensitivity to precipitation timing, with any earlier or heavier rain suppressing peaks toward 25°C or below while clearer intervals support 29°C-plus. Traders weigh evolving CMA and ECMWF runs against historical analogs of mid-June instability, where small shifts in steering patterns or convective initiation often decide the daily high within a narrow range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chongqing on June 23?
25°C or below 100.0%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$70,384 Vol.
$70,384 Vol.
25°C or below
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
25°C or below 100.0%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$70,384 Vol.
$70,384 Vol.
25°C or below
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 21, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
Uncertainty in 48-hour forecasts for Chongqing, driven by variable monsoon moisture and cloud cover, underpins the closely matched market odds around 26–28°C. Regional models show a subtropical high maintaining warm advection, yet scattered showers and higher humidity could cap daytime maxima below typical June averages of 30–31°C. Urban heat island effects and terrain in the Sichuan Basin amplify sensitivity to precipitation timing, with any earlier or heavier rain suppressing peaks toward 25°C or below while clearer intervals support 29°C-plus. Traders weigh evolving CMA and ECMWF runs against historical analogs of mid-June instability, where small shifts in steering patterns or convective initiation often decide the daily high within a narrow range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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