Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with China's meteorological services and international sources like Yr.no and WeatherBug, converge on a maximum of 33–35°C for Chongqing on September 2 under predominantly sunny conditions and light easterly winds. This tight clustering drives the near-even split between 34°C (40.5%) and 35°C (38%) implied probabilities, with lower odds on outliers reflecting model spread and typical observational uncertainty in the Sichuan basin. Clear skies and a stable subtropical ridge favor strong daytime solar heating, while modest humidity and minimal precipitation risk limit further intensification beyond historical early-September averages near 34°C. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月2日の重慶の最高気温は?
34°C 41%
35°C 40%
36°C 10%
33°C 9%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
9%
34°C
41%
35°C
40%
36°C
10%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
2%
34°C 41%
35°C 40%
36°C 10%
33°C 9%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
9%
34°C
41%
35°C
40%
36°C
10%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with China's meteorological services and international sources like Yr.no and WeatherBug, converge on a maximum of 33–35°C for Chongqing on September 2 under predominantly sunny conditions and light easterly winds. This tight clustering drives the near-even split between 34°C (40.5%) and 35°C (38%) implied probabilities, with lower odds on outliers reflecting model spread and typical observational uncertainty in the Sichuan basin. Clear skies and a stable subtropical ridge favor strong daytime solar heating, while modest humidity and minimal precipitation risk limit further intensification beyond historical early-September averages near 34°C. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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