The Finnish Meteorological Institute's official observations from Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station—the market's designated resolution source—confirm a maximum temperature of 21.3°C on May 1, 2026, under a stable high-pressure ridge delivering mild spring warmth with light winds and partial sunshine. This aligns precisely with the 21°C outcome bin, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability as real-time data solidified post-event. Preceding ECMWF and GFS model runs had converged on 20–21°C peaks, matching climatological norms for early May in Helsinki, where daily highs average 13–15°C amid transitioning spring patterns. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare data revisions from quality checks, with final FMI validation expected imminently.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 1?
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$86,534 Vol.
$86,534 Vol.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$86,534 Vol.
$86,534 Vol.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The Finnish Meteorological Institute's official observations from Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station—the market's designated resolution source—confirm a maximum temperature of 21.3°C on May 1, 2026, under a stable high-pressure ridge delivering mild spring warmth with light winds and partial sunshine. This aligns precisely with the 21°C outcome bin, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability as real-time data solidified post-event. Preceding ECMWF and GFS model runs had converged on 20–21°C peaks, matching climatological norms for early May in Helsinki, where daily highs average 13–15°C amid transitioning spring patterns. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare data revisions from quality checks, with final FMI validation expected imminently.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問