Current meteorological conditions and forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate that Istanbul will reach or exceed 31°C as the daily high on June 4, driven by persistent warm air advection and clear skies under a dominant high-pressure ridge. This aligns with typical early-summer climatology for the region, where June averages climb steadily from May baselines, though model consensus shows limited variability in peak readings today. Trader consensus at near-certainty levels reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-term numerical weather prediction for this timeframe, with resolution hinging on official maximum observations at standardized stations. A sudden shift in cloud cover or an unexpected frontal passage could theoretically lower readings, but such changes appear unlikely given the stable synoptic setup.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 4?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 4?
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$19,046 Vol.
$19,046 Vol.
2026/06/04
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
Yes
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$19,046 Vol.
$19,046 Vol.
2026/06/04
21°C or below
$138 Vol.
No
22°C
$136 Vol.
No
23°C
$147 Vol.
No
24°C
$687 Vol.
No
25°C
$139 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,579 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,064 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,680 Vol.
No
29°C
$2,471 Vol.
No
30°C
$4,030 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$6,976 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological conditions and forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate that Istanbul will reach or exceed 31°C as the daily high on June 4, driven by persistent warm air advection and clear skies under a dominant high-pressure ridge. This aligns with typical early-summer climatology for the region, where June averages climb steadily from May baselines, though model consensus shows limited variability in peak readings today. Trader consensus at near-certainty levels reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-term numerical weather prediction for this timeframe, with resolution hinging on official maximum observations at standardized stations. A sudden shift in cloud cover or an unexpected frontal passage could theoretically lower readings, but such changes appear unlikely given the stable synoptic setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
音量
$19,046終了日
2026/06/04マーケット開始日
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological conditions and forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate that Istanbul will reach or exceed 31°C as the daily high on June 4, driven by persistent warm air advection and clear skies under a dominant high-pressure ridge. This aligns with typical early-summer climatology for the region, where June averages climb steadily from May baselines, though model consensus shows limited variability in peak readings today. Trader consensus at near-certainty levels reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-term numerical weather prediction for this timeframe, with resolution hinging on official maximum observations at standardized stations. A sudden shift in cloud cover or an unexpected frontal passage could theoretically lower readings, but such changes appear unlikely given the stable synoptic setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$19,046終了日
2026/06/04マーケット開始日
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Current meteorological conditions and forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate that Istanbul will reach or exceed 31°C as the daily high on June 4, driven by persistent warm air advection and clear skies under a dominant high-pressure ridge. This aligns with typical early-summer climatology for the region, where June averages climb steadily from May baselines, though model consensus shows limited variability in peak readings today. Trader consensus at near-certainty levels reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-term numerical weather prediction for this timeframe, with resolution hinging on official maximum observations at standardized stations. A sudden shift in cloud cover or an unexpected frontal passage could theoretically lower readings, but such changes appear unlikely given the stable synoptic setup.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問