Official NOAA observations at Istanbul Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 10, 2026, reached exactly 20°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with cooler-than-average May conditions influenced by a cold air mass from the Balkans, bringing cloudy skies, gusty winds, and scattered showers that suppressed daytime heating, per Turkish State Meteorological Service reports. Historical May highs at the airport average 20-22°C, making this reading consistent with climatological norms under unsettled weather patterns. Revisions are unlikely absent equipment errors or data discrepancies, though final NOAA quality-controlled records could theoretically prompt minor adjustments if preliminary hourly METARs are refined.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 10?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 10?
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$42,722 Vol.
$42,722 Vol.
2026/05/10
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$42,722 Vol.
$42,722 Vol.
2026/05/10
15°C or below
$2,099 Vol.
No
16°C
$987 Vol.
No
17°C
$1,210 Vol.
No
18°C
$2,551 Vol.
No
19°C
$7,563 Vol.
No
20°C
$7,187 Vol.
Yes
21°C
$3,385 Vol.
No
22°C
$4,664 Vol.
No
23°C
$4,119 Vol.
No
24°C
$5,537 Vol.
No
25°C or higher
$3,419 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official NOAA observations at Istanbul Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 10, 2026, reached exactly 20°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with cooler-than-average May conditions influenced by a cold air mass from the Balkans, bringing cloudy skies, gusty winds, and scattered showers that suppressed daytime heating, per Turkish State Meteorological Service reports. Historical May highs at the airport average 20-22°C, making this reading consistent with climatological norms under unsettled weather patterns. Revisions are unlikely absent equipment errors or data discrepancies, though final NOAA quality-controlled records could theoretically prompt minor adjustments if preliminary hourly METARs are refined.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 8, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
音量
$42,722終了日
2026/05/10マーケット開始日
May 8, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official NOAA observations at Istanbul Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 10, 2026, reached exactly 20°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with cooler-than-average May conditions influenced by a cold air mass from the Balkans, bringing cloudy skies, gusty winds, and scattered showers that suppressed daytime heating, per Turkish State Meteorological Service reports. Historical May highs at the airport average 20-22°C, making this reading consistent with climatological norms under unsettled weather patterns. Revisions are unlikely absent equipment errors or data discrepancies, though final NOAA quality-controlled records could theoretically prompt minor adjustments if preliminary hourly METARs are refined.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$42,722終了日
2026/05/10マーケット開始日
May 8, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official NOAA observations at Istanbul Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 10, 2026, reached exactly 20°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with cooler-than-average May conditions influenced by a cold air mass from the Balkans, bringing cloudy skies, gusty winds, and scattered showers that suppressed daytime heating, per Turkish State Meteorological Service reports. Historical May highs at the airport average 20-22°C, making this reading consistent with climatological norms under unsettled weather patterns. Revisions are unlikely absent equipment errors or data discrepancies, though final NOAA quality-controlled records could theoretically prompt minor adjustments if preliminary hourly METARs are refined.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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