Market-implied odds tightly cluster around 32–34°C for Jakarta's highest temperature on April 19 at Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport station, reflecting BMKG forecast ensembles and global models like ECMWF that project peaks in this range amid the early onset of Indonesia's 2026 dry season. Recent BMKG updates highlight drier-than-normal conditions starting in April, boosting solar heating and urban heat island effects in the tropical maritime climate, with recent highs like 35.4°C in March supporting upside potential. Differentiating factors include variability in cloud cover and convective showers from Tropical Low 92S, which could cap maxima at 32°C if afternoon rain develops, versus clearer skies enabling 34°C. New BMKG advisories and model runs expected April 18 may shift trader sentiment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 19?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 19?
34°C 30%
33°C 28%
32°C 21%
31°C 13%
28°C or below
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
13%
32°C
21%
33°C
28%
34°C
30%
35°C
12%
36°C
5%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 30%
33°C 28%
32°C 21%
31°C 13%
28°C or below
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
13%
32°C
21%
33°C
28%
34°C
30%
35°C
12%
36°C
5%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 17, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market-implied odds tightly cluster around 32–34°C for Jakarta's highest temperature on April 19 at Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport station, reflecting BMKG forecast ensembles and global models like ECMWF that project peaks in this range amid the early onset of Indonesia's 2026 dry season. Recent BMKG updates highlight drier-than-normal conditions starting in April, boosting solar heating and urban heat island effects in the tropical maritime climate, with recent highs like 35.4°C in March supporting upside potential. Differentiating factors include variability in cloud cover and convective showers from Tropical Low 92S, which could cap maxima at 32°C if afternoon rain develops, versus clearer skies enabling 34°C. New BMKG advisories and model runs expected April 18 may shift trader sentiment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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