Trader consensus at 100% for a 32°C peak in Madrid on June 15 stems from official surface observations and short-range model guidance confirming daytime heating under a persistent high-pressure ridge, with southerly flow and minimal cloud cover enabling temperatures to reach this level by afternoon. This aligns with mid-June climatology for the Iberian Peninsula, where clear skies and low humidity typically allow maxima in the 28–34°C range without moderating marine influences. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs and local agency data show tight agreement on the threshold, leaving little room for variance before resolution. Late-day convective development or an unexpected shift in steering winds could still cap the official maximum below 32°C if verified by the primary reporting station.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Madrid on June 15?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 15?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$108,621 Vol.
$108,621 Vol.
2026/06/15
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$108,621 Vol.
$108,621 Vol.
2026/06/15
27°C or below
$1,593 Vol.
No
28°C
$4,207 Vol.
No
29°C
$7,202 Vol.
No
30°C
$13,883 Vol.
No
31°C
$12,576 Vol.
No
32°C
$19,769 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$14,035 Vol.
No
34°C
$16,312 Vol.
No
35°C
$13,300 Vol.
No
36°C
$3,846 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$1,898 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 100% for a 32°C peak in Madrid on June 15 stems from official surface observations and short-range model guidance confirming daytime heating under a persistent high-pressure ridge, with southerly flow and minimal cloud cover enabling temperatures to reach this level by afternoon. This aligns with mid-June climatology for the Iberian Peninsula, where clear skies and low humidity typically allow maxima in the 28–34°C range without moderating marine influences. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs and local agency data show tight agreement on the threshold, leaving little room for variance before resolution. Late-day convective development or an unexpected shift in steering winds could still cap the official maximum below 32°C if verified by the primary reporting station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
音量
$108,621終了日
2026/06/15マーケット開始日
Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 100% for a 32°C peak in Madrid on June 15 stems from official surface observations and short-range model guidance confirming daytime heating under a persistent high-pressure ridge, with southerly flow and minimal cloud cover enabling temperatures to reach this level by afternoon. This aligns with mid-June climatology for the Iberian Peninsula, where clear skies and low humidity typically allow maxima in the 28–34°C range without moderating marine influences. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs and local agency data show tight agreement on the threshold, leaving little room for variance before resolution. Late-day convective development or an unexpected shift in steering winds could still cap the official maximum below 32°C if verified by the primary reporting station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$108,621終了日
2026/06/15マーケット開始日
Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus at 100% for a 32°C peak in Madrid on June 15 stems from official surface observations and short-range model guidance confirming daytime heating under a persistent high-pressure ridge, with southerly flow and minimal cloud cover enabling temperatures to reach this level by afternoon. This aligns with mid-June climatology for the Iberian Peninsula, where clear skies and low humidity typically allow maxima in the 28–34°C range without moderating marine influences. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs and local agency data show tight agreement on the threshold, leaving little room for variance before resolution. Late-day convective development or an unexpected shift in steering winds could still cap the official maximum below 32°C if verified by the primary reporting station.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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