Strong model consensus and real-time observations from Spanish meteorological agencies support the market's 100% implied probability for a 35°C high in Madrid on June 17, with afternoon readings climbing under clear skies, light easterly winds, and minimal cloud cover that maximizes solar heating. June climatology places typical maxima near 28–30°C, yet persistent high-pressure systems and above-average soil dryness have amplified daytime warming this week, aligning forecasts from multiple runs at or above the threshold. Late-day cooling or minor measurement variations at official stations could still shift the final recorded peak by 1–2°C, though current conditions make such deviations unlikely before sunset.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月17日のマドリードの最高気温は？
6月17日のマドリードの最高気温は？
35°C 100.0%
32°C以下 <1%
33℃ <1%
34℃ <1%
$87,247 Vol.
$87,247 Vol.
2026/06/17
32°C以下
いいえ
33℃
いいえ
34℃
いいえ
35°C
はい
36℃
いいえ
37°C
いいえ
38℃
いいえ
39℃
いいえ
40℃
いいえ
41°C
いいえ
42℃以上
いいえ
35°C 100.0%
32°C以下 <1%
33℃ <1%
34℃ <1%
$87,247 Vol.
$87,247 Vol.
2026/06/17
32°C以下
$3,438 Vol.
いいえ
33℃
$4,278 Vol.
いいえ
34℃
$11,606 Vol.
いいえ
35°C
$26,217 Vol.
はい
36℃
$14,466 Vol.
いいえ
37°C
$15,936 Vol.
いいえ
38℃
$8,168 Vol.
いいえ
39℃
$1,022 Vol.
いいえ
40℃
$861 Vol.
いいえ
41°C
$1,100 Vol.
いいえ
42℃以上
$155 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus and real-time observations from Spanish meteorological agencies support the market's 100% implied probability for a 35°C high in Madrid on June 17, with afternoon readings climbing under clear skies, light easterly winds, and minimal cloud cover that maximizes solar heating. June climatology places typical maxima near 28–30°C, yet persistent high-pressure systems and above-average soil dryness have amplified daytime warming this week, aligning forecasts from multiple runs at or above the threshold. Late-day cooling or minor measurement variations at official stations could still shift the final recorded peak by 1–2°C, though current conditions make such deviations unlikely before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
音量
$87,247終了日
2026/06/17マーケット開始日
Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus and real-time observations from Spanish meteorological agencies support the market's 100% implied probability for a 35°C high in Madrid on June 17, with afternoon readings climbing under clear skies, light easterly winds, and minimal cloud cover that maximizes solar heating. June climatology places typical maxima near 28–30°C, yet persistent high-pressure systems and above-average soil dryness have amplified daytime warming this week, aligning forecasts from multiple runs at or above the threshold. Late-day cooling or minor measurement variations at official stations could still shift the final recorded peak by 1–2°C, though current conditions make such deviations unlikely before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$87,247終了日
2026/06/17マーケット開始日
Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Strong model consensus and real-time observations from Spanish meteorological agencies support the market's 100% implied probability for a 35°C high in Madrid on June 17, with afternoon readings climbing under clear skies, light easterly winds, and minimal cloud cover that maximizes solar heating. June climatology places typical maxima near 28–30°C, yet persistent high-pressure systems and above-average soil dryness have amplified daytime warming this week, aligning forecasts from multiple runs at or above the threshold. Late-day cooling or minor measurement variations at official stations could still shift the final recorded peak by 1–2°C, though current conditions make such deviations unlikely before sunset.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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