PAGASA's extended outlook forecasts a daytime high of 33°C for Metro Manila on April 16 under partly cloudy skies with minimal 0-20% rain chance, driving trader consensus toward outcomes near that threshold amid the dry season's peak. Recent observations at the Science Garden station in Quezon City—PAGASA's official Manila measurement site—logged 34.3°C on April 13, aligning with regional highs up to 37.9°C further north, yet urban heat island effects and easterly winds introduce variability. Differing private models like AccuWeather project 35-37°C, reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms that could suppress peaks below 32°C or allow clearer conditions to push toward 35°C+. Watch PAGASA's 5:00 AM/PM updates for refined guidance as resolution nears.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Manila on April 16?
Highest temperature in Manila on April 16?
33°C 31%
34°C 31%
35°C 27%
36°C 26%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
24%
32°C
25%
33°C
31%
34°C
31%
35°C
27%
36°C
26%
37°C
26%
38°C
26%
39°C or higher
26%
33°C 31%
34°C 31%
35°C 27%
36°C 26%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
24%
32°C
25%
33°C
31%
34°C
31%
35°C
27%
36°C
26%
37°C
26%
38°C
26%
39°C or higher
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
PAGASA's extended outlook forecasts a daytime high of 33°C for Metro Manila on April 16 under partly cloudy skies with minimal 0-20% rain chance, driving trader consensus toward outcomes near that threshold amid the dry season's peak. Recent observations at the Science Garden station in Quezon City—PAGASA's official Manila measurement site—logged 34.3°C on April 13, aligning with regional highs up to 37.9°C further north, yet urban heat island effects and easterly winds introduce variability. Differing private models like AccuWeather project 35-37°C, reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms that could suppress peaks below 32°C or allow clearer conditions to push toward 35°C+. Watch PAGASA's 5:00 AM/PM updates for refined guidance as resolution nears.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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