PAGASA's latest Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model run projects a maximum temperature of 36°C at Port Area, Metro Manila, on May 7, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers driven by easterlies—a pattern capping peak heating during the ongoing dry season. This aligns with current observations, including 35.8°C at Science Garden, Quezon City, and yesterday's 36.3°C at nearby Ninoy Aquino International Airport (NAIA), fostering trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for 36°C as the market nears resolution based on finalized Wunderground NAIA data. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon clearing skies boosting insolation or urban heat island effects pushing readings to 37°C, though model stability and humidity suppress such risks; expect post-midnight confirmation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Manila on May 7?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 7?
36°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$34,241 Vol.
$34,241 Vol.
2026/05/07
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$34,241 Vol.
$34,241 Vol.
2026/05/07
30°C or below
$356 Vol.
No
31°C
$592 Vol.
No
32°C
$1,459 Vol.
No
33°C
$1,539 Vol.
No
34°C
$11,886 Vol.
No
35°C
$5,762 Vol.
No
36°C
$3,921 Vol.
Yes
37°C
$2,890 Vol.
No
38°C
$2,878 Vol.
No
39°C
$1,829 Vol.
No
40°C or higher
$1,130 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model run projects a maximum temperature of 36°C at Port Area, Metro Manila, on May 7, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers driven by easterlies—a pattern capping peak heating during the ongoing dry season. This aligns with current observations, including 35.8°C at Science Garden, Quezon City, and yesterday's 36.3°C at nearby Ninoy Aquino International Airport (NAIA), fostering trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for 36°C as the market nears resolution based on finalized Wunderground NAIA data. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon clearing skies boosting insolation or urban heat island effects pushing readings to 37°C, though model stability and humidity suppress such risks; expect post-midnight confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$34,241終了日
2026/05/07マーケット開始日
May 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model run projects a maximum temperature of 36°C at Port Area, Metro Manila, on May 7, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers driven by easterlies—a pattern capping peak heating during the ongoing dry season. This aligns with current observations, including 35.8°C at Science Garden, Quezon City, and yesterday's 36.3°C at nearby Ninoy Aquino International Airport (NAIA), fostering trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for 36°C as the market nears resolution based on finalized Wunderground NAIA data. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon clearing skies boosting insolation or urban heat island effects pushing readings to 37°C, though model stability and humidity suppress such risks; expect post-midnight confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$34,241終了日
2026/05/07マーケット開始日
May 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
PAGASA's latest Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model run projects a maximum temperature of 36°C at Port Area, Metro Manila, on May 7, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers driven by easterlies—a pattern capping peak heating during the ongoing dry season. This aligns with current observations, including 35.8°C at Science Garden, Quezon City, and yesterday's 36.3°C at nearby Ninoy Aquino International Airport (NAIA), fostering trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for 36°C as the market nears resolution based on finalized Wunderground NAIA data. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon clearing skies boosting insolation or urban heat island effects pushing readings to 37°C, though model stability and humidity suppress such risks; expect post-midnight confirmation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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