Trader consensus on Polymarket has reached 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 84-85°F in Miami on April 28, driven by official National Weather Service ASOS observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), the market's resolution source, confirming the peak fell squarely in this bin amid ample daytime heating under a dominant high-pressure ridge. Sunny skies, light east winds of 6-10 mph, and sea-breeze moderation aligned precisely with pre-event National Weather Service point forecasts near 85°F and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF projecting mid-80s peaks—consistent with late-April climatological norms averaging 85°F at KMIA. Realistic challenges to this positioning are negligible post-validation, though rare instrument recalibrations or quality-control revisions could theoretically prompt oracle review, a scenario with near-zero precedent for settled daily maxima.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Miami on April 28?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 28?
84-85°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$83,076 Vol.
$83,076 Vol.
2026/04/28
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
Yes
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
84-85°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$83,076 Vol.
$83,076 Vol.
2026/04/28
73°F or below
$1,688 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$2,002 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$2,272 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$3,811 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$8,802 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$12,321 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$14,263 Vol.
Yes
86-87°F
$21,372 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$5,870 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$5,062 Vol.
No
92°F or higher
$5,613 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has reached 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 84-85°F in Miami on April 28, driven by official National Weather Service ASOS observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), the market's resolution source, confirming the peak fell squarely in this bin amid ample daytime heating under a dominant high-pressure ridge. Sunny skies, light east winds of 6-10 mph, and sea-breeze moderation aligned precisely with pre-event National Weather Service point forecasts near 85°F and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF projecting mid-80s peaks—consistent with late-April climatological norms averaging 85°F at KMIA. Realistic challenges to this positioning are negligible post-validation, though rare instrument recalibrations or quality-control revisions could theoretically prompt oracle review, a scenario with near-zero precedent for settled daily maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 26, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
音量
$83,076終了日
2026/04/28マーケット開始日
Apr 26, 2026, 12:32 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has reached 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 84-85°F in Miami on April 28, driven by official National Weather Service ASOS observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), the market's resolution source, confirming the peak fell squarely in this bin amid ample daytime heating under a dominant high-pressure ridge. Sunny skies, light east winds of 6-10 mph, and sea-breeze moderation aligned precisely with pre-event National Weather Service point forecasts near 85°F and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF projecting mid-80s peaks—consistent with late-April climatological norms averaging 85°F at KMIA. Realistic challenges to this positioning are negligible post-validation, though rare instrument recalibrations or quality-control revisions could theoretically prompt oracle review, a scenario with near-zero precedent for settled daily maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$83,076終了日
2026/04/28マーケット開始日
Apr 26, 2026, 12:32 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has reached 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 84-85°F in Miami on April 28, driven by official National Weather Service ASOS observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), the market's resolution source, confirming the peak fell squarely in this bin amid ample daytime heating under a dominant high-pressure ridge. Sunny skies, light east winds of 6-10 mph, and sea-breeze moderation aligned precisely with pre-event National Weather Service point forecasts near 85°F and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF projecting mid-80s peaks—consistent with late-April climatological norms averaging 85°F at KMIA. Realistic challenges to this positioning are negligible post-validation, though rare instrument recalibrations or quality-control revisions could theoretically prompt oracle review, a scenario with near-zero precedent for settled daily maxima.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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