National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded a highest temperature of 88°F on May 6 around 2:53 PM EDT, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 88-89°F outcome amid mostly sunny skies and light easterly winds of 5-10 mph under a persistent high-pressure ridge over Florida. This peak aligned with short-range GFS and ECMWF model consensus projecting 86-89°F, slightly above the 1991-2020 climatological May average of 86.1°F, as delayed sea breeze from Biscayne Bay allowed prolonged solar heating despite dew points near 71°F. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data corrections from instrument calibration or quality control revisions in the official CLI report, though verified METARs show no higher readings. Final NWS daily summary expected within 24 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Miami on May 6?
Highest temperature in Miami on May 6?
88-89°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$73,235 Vol.
$73,235 Vol.
2026/05/06
79°F or below
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
Yes
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98°F or higher
No
88-89°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$73,235 Vol.
$73,235 Vol.
2026/05/06
79°F or below
$1,336 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$2,978 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$7,191 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$8,970 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$17,809 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$9,250 Vol.
Yes
90-91°F
$8,112 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$8,319 Vol.
No
94-95°F
$5,438 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$2,632 Vol.
No
98°F or higher
$1,201 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded a highest temperature of 88°F on May 6 around 2:53 PM EDT, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 88-89°F outcome amid mostly sunny skies and light easterly winds of 5-10 mph under a persistent high-pressure ridge over Florida. This peak aligned with short-range GFS and ECMWF model consensus projecting 86-89°F, slightly above the 1991-2020 climatological May average of 86.1°F, as delayed sea breeze from Biscayne Bay allowed prolonged solar heating despite dew points near 71°F. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data corrections from instrument calibration or quality control revisions in the official CLI report, though verified METARs show no higher readings. Final NWS daily summary expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 4, 2026, 1:23 PM ET
音量
$73,235終了日
2026/05/06マーケット開始日
May 4, 2026, 1:23 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded a highest temperature of 88°F on May 6 around 2:53 PM EDT, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 88-89°F outcome amid mostly sunny skies and light easterly winds of 5-10 mph under a persistent high-pressure ridge over Florida. This peak aligned with short-range GFS and ECMWF model consensus projecting 86-89°F, slightly above the 1991-2020 climatological May average of 86.1°F, as delayed sea breeze from Biscayne Bay allowed prolonged solar heating despite dew points near 71°F. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data corrections from instrument calibration or quality control revisions in the official CLI report, though verified METARs show no higher readings. Final NWS daily summary expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$73,235終了日
2026/05/06マーケット開始日
May 4, 2026, 1:23 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded a highest temperature of 88°F on May 6 around 2:53 PM EDT, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 88-89°F outcome amid mostly sunny skies and light easterly winds of 5-10 mph under a persistent high-pressure ridge over Florida. This peak aligned with short-range GFS and ECMWF model consensus projecting 86-89°F, slightly above the 1991-2020 climatological May average of 86.1°F, as delayed sea breeze from Biscayne Bay allowed prolonged solar heating despite dew points near 71°F. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data corrections from instrument calibration or quality control revisions in the official CLI report, though verified METARs show no higher readings. Final NWS daily summary expected within 24 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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