Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight clustering of latest forecast models like ECMWF ensembles and Italian Aeronautica Militare guidance, projecting Milan's highest temperature on April 17 around 23-25°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering warm southerly flows into the Po Valley. The slight edge to 24°C stems from recent runs emphasizing ample solar insolation and minimal cloud cover in the afternoon, boosted by Milan's urban heat island effect, which can add 1-2°C above rural readings. Closely trailing 23°C and 25°C outcomes highlight model divergences on potential convective showers or high cloud veils that could shave or add a degree, amid springtime variability exceeding the 17-19°C April climatological norm. Fresh updates from GFS and ECMWF overnight will likely sharpen these market-implied odds before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Milan on April 17?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 17?
24°C 24%
23°C 16%
22°C 15%
25°C 9%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
6%
22°C
15%
23°C
16%
24°C
24%
25°C
9%
26°C
5%
27°C
6%
28°C or higher
2%
24°C 24%
23°C 16%
22°C 15%
25°C 9%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
6%
22°C
15%
23°C
16%
24°C
24%
25°C
9%
26°C
5%
27°C
6%
28°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight clustering of latest forecast models like ECMWF ensembles and Italian Aeronautica Militare guidance, projecting Milan's highest temperature on April 17 around 23-25°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering warm southerly flows into the Po Valley. The slight edge to 24°C stems from recent runs emphasizing ample solar insolation and minimal cloud cover in the afternoon, boosted by Milan's urban heat island effect, which can add 1-2°C above rural readings. Closely trailing 23°C and 25°C outcomes highlight model divergences on potential convective showers or high cloud veils that could shave or add a degree, amid springtime variability exceeding the 17-19°C April climatological norm. Fresh updates from GFS and ECMWF overnight will likely sharpen these market-implied odds before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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