Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast ensembles from ECMWF, GFS, and Italy's Aeronautica Militare, projecting a highest temperature of 24-25°C at Milan Malpensa Airport (LIMC) on April 18 amid a stable high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies and strong insolation. The Aeronautica Militare's latest run shows a 24°C peak between 1400-1800 UTC, while some local models like 3B Meteo suggest 26°C potential under maximal solar heating; this 1-2°C spread arises from minor differences in boundary layer mixing, cloud timing, and urban heat gradients versus the airport site's cooler grass surfaces. Above the April historical average of 18°C, these market-implied odds highlight uncertainty in exact peak hourly readings, with resolution via Wunderground data tomorrow.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Milan on April 18?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 18?
24°C 37%
25°C 37%
23°C 16%
26°C 9%
$17,105 Vol.
$17,105 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
16%
24°C
37%
25°C
37%
26°C
9%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 37%
25°C 37%
23°C 16%
26°C 9%
$17,105 Vol.
$17,105 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
16%
24°C
37%
25°C
37%
26°C
9%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 16, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast ensembles from ECMWF, GFS, and Italy's Aeronautica Militare, projecting a highest temperature of 24-25°C at Milan Malpensa Airport (LIMC) on April 18 amid a stable high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies and strong insolation. The Aeronautica Militare's latest run shows a 24°C peak between 1400-1800 UTC, while some local models like 3B Meteo suggest 26°C potential under maximal solar heating; this 1-2°C spread arises from minor differences in boundary layer mixing, cloud timing, and urban heat gradients versus the airport site's cooler grass surfaces. Above the April historical average of 18°C, these market-implied odds highlight uncertainty in exact peak hourly readings, with resolution via Wunderground data tomorrow.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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