Current ensemble guidance from major models shows Milan highs clustering in the low-to-mid 30s°C on July 2 under a broad subtropical ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and light northerly flow. This setup favors strong daytime heating over the Po Valley, where limited soil moisture and weak winds enhance sensible heat flux. Minor differences among 32–33°C outcomes stem from subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, any residual moisture from recent upstream convection, and exact timing of peak insolation versus possible thin high cloud. Historical July maxima average near 29–31°C, so the current pattern represents modest positive anomalies without extreme heat advection. Updated high-resolution runs and official agency guidance will refine these thresholds before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月2日のミラノの最高気温は?
32°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$73,022 Vol.
$73,022 Vol.
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C以上
いいえ
32°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$73,022 Vol.
$73,022 Vol.
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Current ensemble guidance from major models shows Milan highs clustering in the low-to-mid 30s°C on July 2 under a broad subtropical ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and light northerly flow. This setup favors strong daytime heating over the Po Valley, where limited soil moisture and weak winds enhance sensible heat flux. Minor differences among 32–33°C outcomes stem from subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, any residual moisture from recent upstream convection, and exact timing of peak insolation versus possible thin high cloud. Historical July maxima average near 29–31°C, so the current pattern represents modest positive anomalies without extreme heat advection. Updated high-resolution runs and official agency guidance will refine these thresholds before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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