**Trader consensus at 100% for an 18°C high on June 16, 2026, in Moscow rests on real-time observational data and short-range forecast consensus from meteorological agencies.** Current conditions feature stable high pressure with clear skies, limiting daytime heating while surface observations and model runs (including those aligned with Russian meteorological services) consistently project a peak near 18°C rather than the monthly June average of roughly 20–22°C. This positioning reflects the “wisdom of crowds” in prediction markets, where capital at risk favors the outcome matching the latest verified readings and ensemble forecasts. Realistic challenges include rapid shifts from unmodeled cloud cover, wind changes, or urban heat-island effects that could push the official maximum to 17°C or 19°C, though such deviations appear unlikely given the tight model agreement and proximity to market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Moscow on June 16?
Highest temperature in Moscow on June 16?
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$49,490 Vol.
$49,490 Vol.
2026/06/16
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$49,490 Vol.
$49,490 Vol.
2026/06/16
12°C or below
$433 Vol.
No
13°C
$516 Vol.
No
14°C
$6,868 Vol.
No
15°C
$6,826 Vol.
No
16°C
$3,596 Vol.
No
17°C
$5,432 Vol.
No
18°C
$8,752 Vol.
Yes
19°C
$6,883 Vol.
No
20°C
$4,640 Vol.
No
21°C
$3,253 Vol.
No
22°C or higher
$2,291 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for an 18°C high on June 16, 2026, in Moscow rests on real-time observational data and short-range forecast consensus from meteorological agencies.** Current conditions feature stable high pressure with clear skies, limiting daytime heating while surface observations and model runs (including those aligned with Russian meteorological services) consistently project a peak near 18°C rather than the monthly June average of roughly 20–22°C. This positioning reflects the “wisdom of crowds” in prediction markets, where capital at risk favors the outcome matching the latest verified readings and ensemble forecasts.
Realistic challenges include rapid shifts from unmodeled cloud cover, wind changes, or urban heat-island effects that could push the official maximum to 17°C or 19°C, though such deviations appear unlikely given the tight model agreement and proximity to market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
音量
$49,490終了日
2026/06/16マーケット開始日
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for an 18°C high on June 16, 2026, in Moscow rests on real-time observational data and short-range forecast consensus from meteorological agencies.** Current conditions feature stable high pressure with clear skies, limiting daytime heating while surface observations and model runs (including those aligned with Russian meteorological services) consistently project a peak near 18°C rather than the monthly June average of roughly 20–22°C. This positioning reflects the “wisdom of crowds” in prediction markets, where capital at risk favors the outcome matching the latest verified readings and ensemble forecasts.
Realistic challenges include rapid shifts from unmodeled cloud cover, wind changes, or urban heat-island effects that could push the official maximum to 17°C or 19°C, though such deviations appear unlikely given the tight model agreement and proximity to market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$49,490終了日
2026/06/16マーケット開始日
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
**Trader consensus at 100% for an 18°C high on June 16, 2026, in Moscow rests on real-time observational data and short-range forecast consensus from meteorological agencies.** Current conditions feature stable high pressure with clear skies, limiting daytime heating while surface observations and model runs (including those aligned with Russian meteorological services) consistently project a peak near 18°C rather than the monthly June average of roughly 20–22°C. This positioning reflects the “wisdom of crowds” in prediction markets, where capital at risk favors the outcome matching the latest verified readings and ensemble forecasts. Realistic challenges include rapid shifts from unmodeled cloud cover, wind changes, or urban heat-island effects that could push the official maximum to 17°C or 19°C, though such deviations appear unlikely given the tight model agreement and proximity to market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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