Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 25°C in Moscow on May 6, driven by official observational data from Roshydromet stations, including VDNKh and Balchug, confirming the midday peak at precisely 25°C under partly cloudy skies before evening thunderstorms arrived. Gidrometcentr's morning forecasts had projected highs up to 27°C amid southwesterly winds and above-normal warmth—6°C over May climatological averages of 18-19°C—but increased cloud cover and early precipitation suppressed further intensification, aligning with ECMWF and GFS model consensus for capped warming. Realistic challenges would require an improbable late-afternoon heat burst exceeding models' cooling trajectory prior to final daily reports.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Moscow on May 6?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 6?
25°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$55,673 Vol.
$55,673 Vol.
2026/05/06
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$55,673 Vol.
$55,673 Vol.
2026/05/06
17°C or below
$447 Vol.
No
18°C
$1,504 Vol.
No
19°C
$2,153 Vol.
No
20°C
$3,425 Vol.
No
21°C
$3,422 Vol.
No
22°C
$8,194 Vol.
No
23°C
$7,134 Vol.
No
24°C
$5,981 Vol.
No
25°C
$8,497 Vol.
Yes
26°C
$7,431 Vol.
No
27°C or higher
$7,487 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 25°C in Moscow on May 6, driven by official observational data from Roshydromet stations, including VDNKh and Balchug, confirming the midday peak at precisely 25°C under partly cloudy skies before evening thunderstorms arrived. Gidrometcentr's morning forecasts had projected highs up to 27°C amid southwesterly winds and above-normal warmth—6°C over May climatological averages of 18-19°C—but increased cloud cover and early precipitation suppressed further intensification, aligning with ECMWF and GFS model consensus for capped warming. Realistic challenges would require an improbable late-afternoon heat burst exceeding models' cooling trajectory prior to final daily reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 4, 2026, 12:18 PM ET
音量
$55,673終了日
2026/05/06マーケット開始日
May 4, 2026, 12:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 25°C in Moscow on May 6, driven by official observational data from Roshydromet stations, including VDNKh and Balchug, confirming the midday peak at precisely 25°C under partly cloudy skies before evening thunderstorms arrived. Gidrometcentr's morning forecasts had projected highs up to 27°C amid southwesterly winds and above-normal warmth—6°C over May climatological averages of 18-19°C—but increased cloud cover and early precipitation suppressed further intensification, aligning with ECMWF and GFS model consensus for capped warming. Realistic challenges would require an improbable late-afternoon heat burst exceeding models' cooling trajectory prior to final daily reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$55,673終了日
2026/05/06マーケット開始日
May 4, 2026, 12:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 25°C in Moscow on May 6, driven by official observational data from Roshydromet stations, including VDNKh and Balchug, confirming the midday peak at precisely 25°C under partly cloudy skies before evening thunderstorms arrived. Gidrometcentr's morning forecasts had projected highs up to 27°C amid southwesterly winds and above-normal warmth—6°C over May climatological averages of 18-19°C—but increased cloud cover and early precipitation suppressed further intensification, aligning with ECMWF and GFS model consensus for capped warming. Realistic challenges would require an improbable late-afternoon heat burst exceeding models' cooling trajectory prior to final daily reports.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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