Current ensemble forecasts from the German Weather Service and ECMWF models show Munich under a warming ridge with mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, supporting daily maxima near 29–31 °C on July 11. These conditions favor strong daytime heating after overnight lows in the mid-teens, though modest differences in afternoon cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 29–31 °C because historical July analogs and recent short-range runs place the most probable range there, while the modest probability on 32 °C or higher reflects the tail risk of clearer, drier air. Updated model guidance and DWD nowcasts over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月11日のミュンヘンの最高気温は？
7月11日のミュンヘンの最高気温は？
30°C 59%
29°C 30%
31°C 3.6%
28°C 2.0%
$24,153 Vol.
$24,153 Vol.
2026/07/11
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
30%
30°C
59%
31°C
4%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
30°C 59%
29°C 30%
31°C 3.6%
28°C 2.0%
$24,153 Vol.
$24,153 Vol.
2026/07/11
23°C or below
$530 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$826 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,287 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$728 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,822 Vol.
1%
28°C
$4,031 Vol.
2%
29°C
$6,151 Vol.
30%
30°C
$3,004 Vol.
59%
31°C
$2,910 Vol.
4%
32°C
$1,883 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$1,430 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the German Weather Service and ECMWF models show Munich under a warming ridge with mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, supporting daily maxima near 29–31 °C on July 11. These conditions favor strong daytime heating after overnight lows in the mid-teens, though modest differences in afternoon cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 29–31 °C because historical July analogs and recent short-range runs place the most probable range there, while the modest probability on 32 °C or higher reflects the tail risk of clearer, drier air. Updated model guidance and DWD nowcasts over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
音量
$24,153終了日
2026/07/11マーケット開始日
Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the German Weather Service and ECMWF models show Munich under a warming ridge with mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, supporting daily maxima near 29–31 °C on July 11. These conditions favor strong daytime heating after overnight lows in the mid-teens, though modest differences in afternoon cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 29–31 °C because historical July analogs and recent short-range runs place the most probable range there, while the modest probability on 32 °C or higher reflects the tail risk of clearer, drier air. Updated model guidance and DWD nowcasts over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$24,153終了日
2026/07/11マーケット開始日
Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from the German Weather Service and ECMWF models show Munich under a warming ridge with mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, supporting daily maxima near 29–31 °C on July 11. These conditions favor strong daytime heating after overnight lows in the mid-teens, though modest differences in afternoon cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 29–31 °C because historical July analogs and recent short-range runs place the most probable range there, while the modest probability on 32 °C or higher reflects the tail risk of clearer, drier air. Updated model guidance and DWD nowcasts over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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