Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park ASOS station—the authoritative source for New York City temperatures—recorded a maximum of 64-65°F on April 28, driving Polymarket trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as the market effectively resolves. This matched pre-event National Weather Service guidance and NOAA GFS/ECMWF model consensus projecting mid-60s peaks amid a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, sunny skies for optimal solar heating, and light winds curbing sea-breeze moderation. Starting from morning readings near 51°F after overnight lows around 46°F, conditions adhered to late-April climatology with normal highs of 61-67°F. Realistic challenges include rare NWS data revisions from equipment calibration issues or quality control audits, though such events are exceedingly uncommon post-verification. Hourly updates through the 2-5 PM EDT peak finalized the record.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in NYC on April 28?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 28?
64-65°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$129,058 Vol.
$129,058 Vol.
2026/04/28
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
Yes
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
64-65°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$129,058 Vol.
$129,058 Vol.
2026/04/28
55°F or below
$6,897 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$4,486 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$7,340 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$7,953 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$30,562 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$22,101 Vol.
Yes
66-67°F
$16,126 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$16,110 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$6,464 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$4,186 Vol.
No
74°F or higher
$6,834 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park ASOS station—the authoritative source for New York City temperatures—recorded a maximum of 64-65°F on April 28, driving Polymarket trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as the market effectively resolves. This matched pre-event National Weather Service guidance and NOAA GFS/ECMWF model consensus projecting mid-60s peaks amid a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, sunny skies for optimal solar heating, and light winds curbing sea-breeze moderation. Starting from morning readings near 51°F after overnight lows around 46°F, conditions adhered to late-April climatology with normal highs of 61-67°F. Realistic challenges include rare NWS data revisions from equipment calibration issues or quality control audits, though such events are exceedingly uncommon post-verification. Hourly updates through the 2-5 PM EDT peak finalized the record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 26, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
音量
$129,058終了日
2026/04/28マーケット開始日
Apr 26, 2026, 12:16 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park ASOS station—the authoritative source for New York City temperatures—recorded a maximum of 64-65°F on April 28, driving Polymarket trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as the market effectively resolves. This matched pre-event National Weather Service guidance and NOAA GFS/ECMWF model consensus projecting mid-60s peaks amid a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, sunny skies for optimal solar heating, and light winds curbing sea-breeze moderation. Starting from morning readings near 51°F after overnight lows around 46°F, conditions adhered to late-April climatology with normal highs of 61-67°F. Realistic challenges include rare NWS data revisions from equipment calibration issues or quality control audits, though such events are exceedingly uncommon post-verification. Hourly updates through the 2-5 PM EDT peak finalized the record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$129,058終了日
2026/04/28マーケット開始日
Apr 26, 2026, 12:16 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park ASOS station—the authoritative source for New York City temperatures—recorded a maximum of 64-65°F on April 28, driving Polymarket trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as the market effectively resolves. This matched pre-event National Weather Service guidance and NOAA GFS/ECMWF model consensus projecting mid-60s peaks amid a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, sunny skies for optimal solar heating, and light winds curbing sea-breeze moderation. Starting from morning readings near 51°F after overnight lows around 46°F, conditions adhered to late-April climatology with normal highs of 61-67°F. Realistic challenges include rare NWS data revisions from equipment calibration issues or quality control audits, though such events are exceedingly uncommon post-verification. Hourly updates through the 2-5 PM EDT peak finalized the record.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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