Model consensus from Météo-France and European ensembles positions the June 13 Paris maximum near 26–27 °C under building high pressure, mostly clear skies, and light winds that favor daytime heating without strong advection. This setup, following a period of variable early June conditions, has produced the current near-certain market-implied odds for 27 °C as the official high at the primary observing station. Real-time trader consensus reflects confidence in the forecast guidance and limited uncertainty in the final hours. A modest shift in observed peak could still occur if localized cloud cover develops or if the official reading at Paris-Montsouris deviates slightly from model output due to urban heat island effects or measurement timing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月13日のパリの最高気温は?
27°C 100.0%
22°C以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$90,074 Vol.
$90,074 Vol.
22°C以下
いいえ
23°C
いいえ
24°C
いいえ
25℃
いいえ
26°C
いいえ
27°C
はい
28°C
いいえ
29°C
いいえ
30°C
いいえ
31°C
いいえ
32℃以上
いいえ
27°C 100.0%
22°C以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$90,074 Vol.
$90,074 Vol.
22°C以下
いいえ
23°C
いいえ
24°C
いいえ
25℃
いいえ
26°C
いいえ
27°C
はい
28°C
いいえ
29°C
いいえ
30°C
いいえ
31°C
いいえ
32℃以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Model consensus from Météo-France and European ensembles positions the June 13 Paris maximum near 26–27 °C under building high pressure, mostly clear skies, and light winds that favor daytime heating without strong advection. This setup, following a period of variable early June conditions, has produced the current near-certain market-implied odds for 27 °C as the official high at the primary observing station. Real-time trader consensus reflects confidence in the forecast guidance and limited uncertainty in the final hours. A modest shift in observed peak could still occur if localized cloud cover develops or if the official reading at Paris-Montsouris deviates slightly from model output due to urban heat island effects or measurement timing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問