Current forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models show Paris experiencing a peak of 28°C on June 16, 2026, driven by a warm southerly flow and clear to partly cloudy skies that allow strong daytime heating without excessive moisture or instability. This consensus aligns with observed trends, where afternoon temperatures have climbed steadily from morning lows near 18°C under light winds. Market-implied odds reflect high confidence in this exact maximum, consistent with historical June patterns and recent model runs showing limited spread. Shifts could occur from localized convective clouds, revised station measurements, or late-day cooling that caps the daily high below or pushes it above the threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Paris on June 16?
28°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$150,382 Vol.
$150,382 Vol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$150,382 Vol.
$150,382 Vol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Current forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models show Paris experiencing a peak of 28°C on June 16, 2026, driven by a warm southerly flow and clear to partly cloudy skies that allow strong daytime heating without excessive moisture or instability. This consensus aligns with observed trends, where afternoon temperatures have climbed steadily from morning lows near 18°C under light winds. Market-implied odds reflect high confidence in this exact maximum, consistent with historical June patterns and recent model runs showing limited spread. Shifts could occur from localized convective clouds, revised station measurements, or late-day cooling that caps the daily high below or pushes it above the threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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