Trader consensus around 30–32°C for Qingdao’s July 2 maximum reflects the inherent spread in short-range ensemble forecasts for this coastal Yellow Sea location. Primary drivers include the position and strength of the western Pacific subtropical high, which controls southerly flow and daytime heating, alongside local sea-breeze moderation that can cap peaks near 30°C under stronger onshore winds. CMA and global models show modest disagreement on cloud cover and timing of any weak frontal passage, producing the observed 25.5 % / 22.5 % split between 31 °C and both 30 °C and 32 °C. Historical early-July climatology (mean daily maximum near 29–30 °C) anchors the distribution, while rapid 48-hour forecast updates from official agencies remain the key near-term catalyst.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月2日の青島の最高気温は？
7月2日の青島の最高気温は？
31°C 100.0%
24℃以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26℃ <1%
$55,034 Vol.
$55,034 Vol.
2026/07/02
24℃以下
いいえ
25°C
いいえ
26℃
いいえ
27℃
いいえ
28°C
いいえ
29°C
いいえ
30℃
いいえ
31°C
はい
32℃
いいえ
33℃
いいえ
34°C以上
いいえ
31°C 100.0%
24℃以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26℃ <1%
$55,034 Vol.
$55,034 Vol.
2026/07/02
24℃以下
$2,403 Vol.
いいえ
25°C
$2,826 Vol.
いいえ
26℃
$4,326 Vol.
いいえ
27℃
$4,818 Vol.
いいえ
28°C
$6,157 Vol.
いいえ
29°C
$6,622 Vol.
いいえ
30℃
$3,668 Vol.
いいえ
31°C
$8,501 Vol.
はい
32℃
$4,963 Vol.
いいえ
33℃
$2,432 Vol.
いいえ
34°C以上
$8,318 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 30–32°C for Qingdao’s July 2 maximum reflects the inherent spread in short-range ensemble forecasts for this coastal Yellow Sea location. Primary drivers include the position and strength of the western Pacific subtropical high, which controls southerly flow and daytime heating, alongside local sea-breeze moderation that can cap peaks near 30°C under stronger onshore winds. CMA and global models show modest disagreement on cloud cover and timing of any weak frontal passage, producing the observed 25.5 % / 22.5 % split between 31 °C and both 30 °C and 32 °C. Historical early-July climatology (mean daily maximum near 29–30 °C) anchors the distribution, while rapid 48-hour forecast updates from official agencies remain the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
音量
$55,034終了日
2026/07/02マーケット開始日
Jun 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 30–32°C for Qingdao’s July 2 maximum reflects the inherent spread in short-range ensemble forecasts for this coastal Yellow Sea location. Primary drivers include the position and strength of the western Pacific subtropical high, which controls southerly flow and daytime heating, alongside local sea-breeze moderation that can cap peaks near 30°C under stronger onshore winds. CMA and global models show modest disagreement on cloud cover and timing of any weak frontal passage, producing the observed 25.5 % / 22.5 % split between 31 °C and both 30 °C and 32 °C. Historical early-July climatology (mean daily maximum near 29–30 °C) anchors the distribution, while rapid 48-hour forecast updates from official agencies remain the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$55,034終了日
2026/07/02マーケット開始日
Jun 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Trader consensus around 30–32°C for Qingdao’s July 2 maximum reflects the inherent spread in short-range ensemble forecasts for this coastal Yellow Sea location. Primary drivers include the position and strength of the western Pacific subtropical high, which controls southerly flow and daytime heating, alongside local sea-breeze moderation that can cap peaks near 30°C under stronger onshore winds. CMA and global models show modest disagreement on cloud cover and timing of any weak frontal passage, producing the observed 25.5 % / 22.5 % split between 31 °C and both 30 °C and 32 °C. Historical early-July climatology (mean daily maximum near 29–30 °C) anchors the distribution, while rapid 48-hour forecast updates from official agencies remain the key near-term catalyst.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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