Numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show strong consensus for a daily maximum of 26°C in Qingdao on June 5, driving the market's near-certain implied probability on that outcome. Coastal location and typical early-June synoptic patterns, including moderate northerly flow and limited solar heating under variable cloud cover, support this peak without significant inland warming. Historical June averages near 24°C provide climatological context, though day-to-day variability remains. Shifts in forecast guidance from new observational data or unexpected changes in steering winds could still allow a 27°C reading before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 5?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 5?
26°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$74,695 Vol.
$74,695 Vol.
2026/06/05
25°C or below
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$74,695 Vol.
$74,695 Vol.
2026/06/05
25°C or below
$20,105 Vol.
No
26°C
$26,419 Vol.
Yes
27°C
$3,801 Vol.
No
28°C
$5,037 Vol.
No
29°C
$4,760 Vol.
No
30°C
$4,293 Vol.
No
31°C
$705 Vol.
No
32°C
$800 Vol.
No
33°C
$347 Vol.
No
34°C
$1,226 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$7,201 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show strong consensus for a daily maximum of 26°C in Qingdao on June 5, driving the market's near-certain implied probability on that outcome. Coastal location and typical early-June synoptic patterns, including moderate northerly flow and limited solar heating under variable cloud cover, support this peak without significant inland warming. Historical June averages near 24°C provide climatological context, though day-to-day variability remains. Shifts in forecast guidance from new observational data or unexpected changes in steering winds could still allow a 27°C reading before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 3, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
音量
$74,695終了日
2026/06/05マーケット開始日
Jun 3, 2026, 12:32 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show strong consensus for a daily maximum of 26°C in Qingdao on June 5, driving the market's near-certain implied probability on that outcome. Coastal location and typical early-June synoptic patterns, including moderate northerly flow and limited solar heating under variable cloud cover, support this peak without significant inland warming. Historical June averages near 24°C provide climatological context, though day-to-day variability remains. Shifts in forecast guidance from new observational data or unexpected changes in steering winds could still allow a 27°C reading before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$74,695終了日
2026/06/05マーケット開始日
Jun 3, 2026, 12:32 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show strong consensus for a daily maximum of 26°C in Qingdao on June 5, driving the market's near-certain implied probability on that outcome. Coastal location and typical early-June synoptic patterns, including moderate northerly flow and limited solar heating under variable cloud cover, support this peak without significant inland warming. Historical June averages near 24°C provide climatological context, though day-to-day variability remains. Shifts in forecast guidance from new observational data or unexpected changes in steering winds could still allow a 27°C reading before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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