Trader consensus assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 21°C in Qingdao on May 5, driven by official observational data from the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport station under the China Meteorological Administration, which recorded a midday peak of 21°C amid partly cloudy skies, southerly winds of 3-5 levels, and sea breezes capping further warming. This aligns with forecast model consensus predicting coastal highs of 19-23°C and seasonal climatology, where early May averages 20.3°C amid rising temperatures from spring patterns. Realistic challenges include a final data revision from late-evening logs revealing a higher micro-peak, though improbable with solar insolation declining and nighttime cooling to 15°C underway; CMA's daily summary expected within hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 5?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 5?
21°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$95,135 Vol.
$95,135 Vol.
2026/05/05
20°C or below
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$95,135 Vol.
$95,135 Vol.
2026/05/05
20°C or below
$28,933 Vol.
No
21°C
$23,008 Vol.
Yes
22°C
$14,173 Vol.
No
23°C
$10,272 Vol.
No
24°C
$5,112 Vol.
No
25°C
$2,650 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,902 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,908 Vol.
No
28°C
$4,597 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,821 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$758 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 21°C in Qingdao on May 5, driven by official observational data from the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport station under the China Meteorological Administration, which recorded a midday peak of 21°C amid partly cloudy skies, southerly winds of 3-5 levels, and sea breezes capping further warming. This aligns with forecast model consensus predicting coastal highs of 19-23°C and seasonal climatology, where early May averages 20.3°C amid rising temperatures from spring patterns. Realistic challenges include a final data revision from late-evening logs revealing a higher micro-peak, though improbable with solar insolation declining and nighttime cooling to 15°C underway; CMA's daily summary expected within hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 3, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
音量
$95,135終了日
2026/05/05マーケット開始日
May 3, 2026, 12:34 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 21°C in Qingdao on May 5, driven by official observational data from the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport station under the China Meteorological Administration, which recorded a midday peak of 21°C amid partly cloudy skies, southerly winds of 3-5 levels, and sea breezes capping further warming. This aligns with forecast model consensus predicting coastal highs of 19-23°C and seasonal climatology, where early May averages 20.3°C amid rising temperatures from spring patterns. Realistic challenges include a final data revision from late-evening logs revealing a higher micro-peak, though improbable with solar insolation declining and nighttime cooling to 15°C underway; CMA's daily summary expected within hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$95,135終了日
2026/05/05マーケット開始日
May 3, 2026, 12:34 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 21°C in Qingdao on May 5, driven by official observational data from the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport station under the China Meteorological Administration, which recorded a midday peak of 21°C amid partly cloudy skies, southerly winds of 3-5 levels, and sea breezes capping further warming. This aligns with forecast model consensus predicting coastal highs of 19-23°C and seasonal climatology, where early May averages 20.3°C amid rising temperatures from spring patterns. Realistic challenges include a final data revision from late-evening logs revealing a higher micro-peak, though improbable with solar insolation declining and nighttime cooling to 15°C underway; CMA's daily summary expected within hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問