Official observations from the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport's automated weather station, as documented by Weather Underground, recorded a maximum temperature of 25°C on May 9, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent cloud cover and light winds throughout the day suppressed solar heating, yielding a high well below Shenzhen's early May climatological average of 28–29°C, consistent with regional reports of hazy conditions from the China Meteorological Administration. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified data over pre-event forecasts anticipating mild warming. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc data audits uncovering sensor anomalies or transcription errors, though automated station records rarely change.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 9?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 9?
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$75,012 Vol.
$75,012 Vol.
2026/05/09
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$75,012 Vol.
$75,012 Vol.
2026/05/09
18°C or below
$1,040 Vol.
No
19°C
$5,644 Vol.
No
20°C
$5,820 Vol.
No
21°C
$5,195 Vol.
No
22°C
$3,835 Vol.
No
23°C
$2,905 Vol.
No
24°C
$5,030 Vol.
No
25°C
$19,864 Vol.
Yes
26°C
$8,851 Vol.
No
27°C
$9,010 Vol.
No
28°C or higher
$7,820 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport's automated weather station, as documented by Weather Underground, recorded a maximum temperature of 25°C on May 9, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent cloud cover and light winds throughout the day suppressed solar heating, yielding a high well below Shenzhen's early May climatological average of 28–29°C, consistent with regional reports of hazy conditions from the China Meteorological Administration. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified data over pre-event forecasts anticipating mild warming. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc data audits uncovering sensor anomalies or transcription errors, though automated station records rarely change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 7, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
音量
$75,012終了日
2026/05/09マーケット開始日
May 7, 2026, 12:40 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport's automated weather station, as documented by Weather Underground, recorded a maximum temperature of 25°C on May 9, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent cloud cover and light winds throughout the day suppressed solar heating, yielding a high well below Shenzhen's early May climatological average of 28–29°C, consistent with regional reports of hazy conditions from the China Meteorological Administration. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified data over pre-event forecasts anticipating mild warming. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc data audits uncovering sensor anomalies or transcription errors, though automated station records rarely change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$75,012終了日
2026/05/09マーケット開始日
May 7, 2026, 12:40 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official observations from the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport's automated weather station, as documented by Weather Underground, recorded a maximum temperature of 25°C on May 9, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent cloud cover and light winds throughout the day suppressed solar heating, yielding a high well below Shenzhen's early May climatological average of 28–29°C, consistent with regional reports of hazy conditions from the China Meteorological Administration. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified data over pre-event forecasts anticipating mild warming. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc data audits uncovering sensor anomalies or transcription errors, though automated station records rarely change.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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