Forecast models from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and international sources indicate a maximum of 35–36°C in Taipei on August 16, driven by persistent summer heat, high humidity, and weak steering winds that favor afternoon thundershowers rather than extreme peaks. These conditions align with climatological averages near 33–34°C while allowing brief spikes above 35°C before cloud cover and precipitation moderate readings. Recent model runs show limited variability, supporting trader consensus around the 35°C and 36°C outcomes as the most probable under current atmospheric patterns. Upcoming official updates from the CWA and refined ensemble guidance on storm timing will likely refine exact resolution thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月16日の台北の最高気温は?
35°C 40%
36°C 30%
34°C 18%
33°C 7%
$10,990 Vol.
$10,990 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
7%
34°C
18%
35°C
40%
36°C
30%
37°C
5%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 40%
36°C 30%
34°C 18%
33°C 7%
$10,990 Vol.
$10,990 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
7%
34°C
18%
35°C
40%
36°C
30%
37°C
5%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and international sources indicate a maximum of 35–36°C in Taipei on August 16, driven by persistent summer heat, high humidity, and weak steering winds that favor afternoon thundershowers rather than extreme peaks. These conditions align with climatological averages near 33–34°C while allowing brief spikes above 35°C before cloud cover and precipitation moderate readings. Recent model runs show limited variability, supporting trader consensus around the 35°C and 36°C outcomes as the most probable under current atmospheric patterns. Upcoming official updates from the CWA and refined ensemble guidance on storm timing will likely refine exact resolution thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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