Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts indicate daytime highs of 36°C for Taipei on July 25–26 under mostly clear conditions, following the passage of Typhoon Bavi earlier in July. A developing tropical system east of the Philippines, potentially strengthening into Tropical Storm Noul, may approach coastal waters by the weekend, introducing variable cloud cover or isolated showers that could limit peak solar insolation and cap temperatures. In Taipei’s subtropical monsoon climate, afternoon humidity levels near 70–85% and the urban heat island effect typically amplify observed maxima, while light steering winds and lack of strong frontal boundaries favor the 35–36°C range. Trader consensus clusters around these outcomes because ensemble model guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability this close to the event, with any late increase in convective activity the primary variable that could shift the recorded high downward by 1–2°C.