Official hourly observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—confirm the highest temperature peaked at 24°C around midday on May 6, solidifying 100% trader consensus as evening cools set in under partly cloudy skies and southwest winds at 10-15 mph. IMGW monitoring data and automated station readings show sustained readings below 25°C, aligning with a cooler air mass overriding earlier model forecasts of 25-26°C from INCA and synoptic projections. This positioning reflects strong evidence from verified measurements, though rare scenarios like instrument recalibration or an unreported data glitch could prompt revision; final IMGW daily bulletin expected soon will lock in the record. Typical May highs average 19°C, making today's outcome climatologically consistent.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 6?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 6?
24°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$58,279 Vol.
$58,279 Vol.
2026/05/06
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$58,279 Vol.
$58,279 Vol.
2026/05/06
16°C or below
$618 Vol.
No
17°C
$270 Vol.
No
18°C
$304 Vol.
No
19°C
$671 Vol.
No
20°C
$880 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,650 Vol.
No
22°C
$2,289 Vol.
No
23°C
$5,505 Vol.
No
24°C
$17,977 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$7,834 Vol.
No
26°C or higher
$20,281 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official hourly observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—confirm the highest temperature peaked at 24°C around midday on May 6, solidifying 100% trader consensus as evening cools set in under partly cloudy skies and southwest winds at 10-15 mph. IMGW monitoring data and automated station readings show sustained readings below 25°C, aligning with a cooler air mass overriding earlier model forecasts of 25-26°C from INCA and synoptic projections. This positioning reflects strong evidence from verified measurements, though rare scenarios like instrument recalibration or an unreported data glitch could prompt revision; final IMGW daily bulletin expected soon will lock in the record. Typical May highs average 19°C, making today's outcome climatologically consistent.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 4, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
音量
$58,279終了日
2026/05/06マーケット開始日
May 4, 2026, 12:55 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official hourly observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—confirm the highest temperature peaked at 24°C around midday on May 6, solidifying 100% trader consensus as evening cools set in under partly cloudy skies and southwest winds at 10-15 mph. IMGW monitoring data and automated station readings show sustained readings below 25°C, aligning with a cooler air mass overriding earlier model forecasts of 25-26°C from INCA and synoptic projections. This positioning reflects strong evidence from verified measurements, though rare scenarios like instrument recalibration or an unreported data glitch could prompt revision; final IMGW daily bulletin expected soon will lock in the record. Typical May highs average 19°C, making today's outcome climatologically consistent.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$58,279終了日
2026/05/06マーケット開始日
May 4, 2026, 12:55 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official hourly observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—confirm the highest temperature peaked at 24°C around midday on May 6, solidifying 100% trader consensus as evening cools set in under partly cloudy skies and southwest winds at 10-15 mph. IMGW monitoring data and automated station readings show sustained readings below 25°C, aligning with a cooler air mass overriding earlier model forecasts of 25-26°C from INCA and synoptic projections. This positioning reflects strong evidence from verified measurements, though rare scenarios like instrument recalibration or an unreported data glitch could prompt revision; final IMGW daily bulletin expected soon will lock in the record. Typical May highs average 19°C, making today's outcome climatologically consistent.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問