Recent MetService forecasts and observational data from Wellington stations indicate peak daytime temperatures will reach 18°C on June 5 amid mild northerly airflow and limited cloud cover, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. This positioning reflects model agreement on stable atmospheric conditions preventing significant cooling, consistent with near-average seasonal temperatures for the region during early winter. Official monitoring from agencies like NIWA and MetService provides the verifiable measurements used for resolution, with historical June highs rarely exceeding 16–17°C under similar patterns. A sudden southerly shift or increased rainfall could lower the maximum below 18°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before the day's end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Wellington on June 5?
18°C 100.0%
11°C以下 <1%
12℃ <1%
13°C <1%
$250,697 Vol.
$250,697 Vol.
11°C以下
いいえ
12℃
いいえ
13°C
いいえ
14°C
いいえ
15°C
いいえ
16°C
いいえ
17℃
いいえ
18°C
はい
19°C
いいえ
20°C
いいえ
21°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
11°C以下 <1%
12℃ <1%
13°C <1%
$250,697 Vol.
$250,697 Vol.
11°C以下
いいえ
12℃
いいえ
13°C
いいえ
14°C
いいえ
15°C
いいえ
16°C
いいえ
17℃
いいえ
18°C
はい
19°C
いいえ
20°C
いいえ
21°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Recent MetService forecasts and observational data from Wellington stations indicate peak daytime temperatures will reach 18°C on June 5 amid mild northerly airflow and limited cloud cover, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. This positioning reflects model agreement on stable atmospheric conditions preventing significant cooling, consistent with near-average seasonal temperatures for the region during early winter. Official monitoring from agencies like NIWA and MetService provides the verifiable measurements used for resolution, with historical June highs rarely exceeding 16–17°C under similar patterns. A sudden southerly shift or increased rainfall could lower the maximum below 18°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before the day's end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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