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ハンガリー議会選挙:どの政党が議会に入りますか?

Market icon

ハンガリー議会選挙:どの政党が議会に入りますか?

$398,033 Vol.

2026/04/12
Polymarket

$398,033 Vol.

Polymarket
我が祖国運動(Mi Hazánk)は次回のハンガリー議会選挙で少なくとも1議席を獲得するでしょうか? icon

Mi Hazánk

$294,540 Vol.

99%

次のハンガリー議会選挙で民主連合(DK)は少なくとも1議席を獲得しますか? icon

DK

$68,872 Vol.

<1%

ハンガリー二尾犬党(Magyar Kétfarkú Kutya Párt、MKKP)は、次回のハンガリー議会選挙で少なくとも1議席を獲得しますか? icon

MKKP

$34,621 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Hungary's parliamentary election on April 12, 2026, saw record 77.8% turnout amid Péter Magyar's Tisza party surging to a supermajority of approximately 138 seats in the 199-seat National Assembly, ending Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP's 16-year rule after Orbán conceded defeat. Fidesz secured around 55 seats, while far-right Mi Hazánk gained 7, crossing the 5% national list threshold for single parties or 10% for alliances. Left-leaning DK and others like MKKP fell below, gaining no list seats despite some district wins. Traders await final certification by the National Election Office, expected soon, to resolve which parties officially enter parliament based on validated vote shares and seat allocations.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
音量
$398,033
終了日
2026/04/12
マーケット開始日
Mar 23, 2026, 11:51 AM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Hungary's parliamentary election on April 12, 2026, saw record 77.8% turnout amid Péter Magyar's Tisza party surging to a supermajority of approximately 138 seats in the 199-seat National Assembly, ending Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP's 16-year rule after Orbán conceded defeat. Fidesz secured around 55 seats, while far-right Mi Hazánk gained 7, crossing the 5% national list threshold for single parties or 10% for alliances. Left-leaning DK and others like MKKP fell below, gaining no list seats despite some district wins. Traders await final certification by the National Election Office, expected soon, to resolve which parties officially enter parliament based on validated vote shares and seat allocations.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
音量
$398,033
終了日
2026/04/12
マーケット開始日
Mar 23, 2026, 11:51 AM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).

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よくある質問

「ハンガリー議会選挙:どの政党が議会に入りますか?」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Mi Hazánk」で99%、次いで「DK」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、99¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に99%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ハンガリー議会選挙:どの政党が議会に入りますか?」は$398Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Mar 23, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ハンガリー議会選挙:どの政党が議会に入りますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ハンガリー議会選挙:どの政党が議会に入りますか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「Mi Hazánk」で99%であり、市場がこの結果に99%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「DK」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ハンガリー議会選挙:どの政党が議会に入りますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。