Jerome Powell’s continued service on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors through January 2028, despite the end of his chairmanship in May 2026, stems primarily from statutory “for cause” removal protections and his April 2026 pledge to remain until related investigations conclude with transparency. Current market-implied odds price low near-term exit probabilities, reflecting the high legal threshold for presidential action, recent Supreme Court precedent on similar cases, and Powell’s low-profile stance under Chair Kevin Warsh. Trader sentiment incorporates the administration’s ongoing rate-policy friction and headquarters-construction scrutiny but discounts immediate removal risks absent new formal steps before year-end deadlines. No major catalysts are scheduled before the next FOMC meetings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$447,774 Vol.
12月31日
14%
$447,774 Vol.
12月31日
14%
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
マーケット開始日: Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
リゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Jerome Powell’s continued service on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors through January 2028, despite the end of his chairmanship in May 2026, stems primarily from statutory “for cause” removal protections and his April 2026 pledge to remain until related investigations conclude with transparency. Current market-implied odds price low near-term exit probabilities, reflecting the high legal threshold for presidential action, recent Supreme Court precedent on similar cases, and Powell’s low-profile stance under Chair Kevin Warsh. Trader sentiment incorporates the administration’s ongoing rate-policy friction and headquarters-construction scrutiny but discounts immediate removal risks absent new formal steps before year-end deadlines. No major catalysts are scheduled before the next FOMC meetings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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