Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Ye's "Bully" landing 150k-175k first-week album equivalent units at 53.5% implied probability, with <150k close behind at 37.5%, reflecting early post-release tracking data from March 28 rollout. Robust Spotify streaming—nearing 50 million on day one, the biggest rapper debut of 2026—bolsters totals via track equivalents, but pure album sales projections hover around 100k per Kalshi and Hits Daily Double, tempering higher brackets amid competition and Ye's polarizing Vultures-era history. Pre-release hype eyed 250k+, yet distributor Gamma metrics and fan-driven leaks shifted sentiment downward. Watch midweek updates for Billboard 200 lock, where late physicals could swing the range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日カニエ・ウェストの「いじめっ子」ファーストウィークアルバムセールス? (ローワーストライク)
カニエ・ウェストの「いじめっ子」ファーストウィークアルバムセールス? (ローワーストライク)
15万〜17.5万枚 54%
15万枚未満 38%
175k~200k 8%
20万〜22.5万 6.8%
15万枚未満
38%
15万〜17.5万枚
54%
175k~200k
8%
20万〜22.5万
7%
225k〜250k
<1%
25万〜27.5万枚
6%
27.5万〜30万
6%
30万枚以上
3%
15万〜17.5万枚 54%
15万枚未満 38%
175k~200k 8%
20万〜22.5万 6.8%
15万枚未満
38%
15万〜17.5万枚
54%
175k~200k
8%
20万〜22.5万
7%
225k〜250k
<1%
25万〜27.5万枚
6%
27.5万〜30万
6%
30万枚以上
3%
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Kanye West's album 'BULLY', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'BULLY' has not been released by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
マーケット開始日: Mar 30, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Kanye West's album 'BULLY', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'BULLY' has not been released by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Ye's "Bully" landing 150k-175k first-week album equivalent units at 53.5% implied probability, with <150k close behind at 37.5%, reflecting early post-release tracking data from March 28 rollout. Robust Spotify streaming—nearing 50 million on day one, the biggest rapper debut of 2026—bolsters totals via track equivalents, but pure album sales projections hover around 100k per Kalshi and Hits Daily Double, tempering higher brackets amid competition and Ye's polarizing Vultures-era history. Pre-release hype eyed 250k+, yet distributor Gamma metrics and fan-driven leaks shifted sentiment downward. Watch midweek updates for Billboard 200 lock, where late physicals could swing the range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問