Incumbent Karen Bass leads the June 2 nonpartisan primary for Los Angeles mayor while City Councilmember Nithya Raman has secured second place after overtaking Spencer Pratt in ongoing mail-ballot counts. With over 90 percent of votes tabulated, official projections from multiple outlets confirm Bass and Raman will advance to the November runoff. Raman's late surge in remaining ballots, driven by stronger performance among progressive and Democratic-leaning voters, established the current trader consensus reflected in the market pricing. Late-arriving ballots or an unforeseen recount could theoretically alter the exact ordering, though historical patterns in California municipal elections make such reversals improbable at this stage of tabulation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Nithya Raman 100.0%
Spencer Pratt <1%
Karen Bass <1%
Rick Caruso <1%
$860,570 Vol.
$860,570 Vol.
2026/06/02
Karen Bass
No
Rick Caruso
No
Asaad Alnajjar
No
Gina Viola
No
Spencer Pratt
No
Austin Beutner
No
Lindsey Horvath
No
Monica Rodriguez
No
Rae Huang
No
Nithya Raman
Yes
Adam Miller
No
Nithya Raman 100.0%
Spencer Pratt <1%
Karen Bass <1%
Rick Caruso <1%
$860,570 Vol.
$860,570 Vol.
2026/06/02
Karen Bass
$109,299 Vol.
No
Rick Caruso
$2,962 Vol.
No
Asaad Alnajjar
$3,125 Vol.
No
Gina Viola
$5,167 Vol.
No
Spencer Pratt
$305,375 Vol.
No
Austin Beutner
$4,227 Vol.
No
Lindsey Horvath
$3,287 Vol.
No
Monica Rodriguez
$2,338 Vol.
No
Rae Huang
$2,823 Vol.
No
Nithya Raman
$419,435 Vol.
Yes
Adam Miller
$2,533 Vol.
No
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.Incumbent Karen Bass leads the June 2 nonpartisan primary for Los Angeles mayor while City Councilmember Nithya Raman has secured second place after overtaking Spencer Pratt in ongoing mail-ballot counts. With over 90 percent of votes tabulated, official projections from multiple outlets confirm Bass and Raman will advance to the November runoff. Raman's late surge in remaining ballots, driven by stronger performance among progressive and Democratic-leaning voters, established the current trader consensus reflected in the market pricing. Late-arriving ballots or an unforeseen recount could theoretically alter the exact ordering, though historical patterns in California municipal elections make such reversals improbable at this stage of tabulation.
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
マーケット開始日： May 14, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
音量
$860,570終了日
2026/06/02マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 1:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.Incumbent Karen Bass leads the June 2 nonpartisan primary for Los Angeles mayor while City Councilmember Nithya Raman has secured second place after overtaking Spencer Pratt in ongoing mail-ballot counts. With over 90 percent of votes tabulated, official projections from multiple outlets confirm Bass and Raman will advance to the November runoff. Raman's late surge in remaining ballots, driven by stronger performance among progressive and Democratic-leaning voters, established the current trader consensus reflected in the market pricing. Late-arriving ballots or an unforeseen recount could theoretically alter the exact ordering, though historical patterns in California municipal elections make such reversals improbable at this stage of tabulation.
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
音量
$860,570終了日
2026/06/02マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 1:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Incumbent Karen Bass leads the June 2 nonpartisan primary for Los Angeles mayor while City Councilmember Nithya Raman has secured second place after overtaking Spencer Pratt in ongoing mail-ballot counts. With over 90 percent of votes tabulated, official projections from multiple outlets confirm Bass and Raman will advance to the November runoff. Raman's late surge in remaining ballots, driven by stronger performance among progressive and Democratic-leaning voters, established the current trader consensus reflected in the market pricing. Late-arriving ballots or an unforeseen recount could theoretically alter the exact ordering, though historical patterns in California municipal elections make such reversals improbable at this stage of tabulation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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