Lacy and Marlon launched their continuous gaming marathon on September 1, 2026, requiring back-to-back completions of Fortnite, Warzone, and Minecraft Hardcore on a single stream. Trader consensus heavily favors under 100 Fortnite deaths at 81.5% implied probability, reflecting Lacy’s established competitive pedigree as an FNCS champion and the duo’s prior endurance successes, including a 2025 Minecraft marathon finished in four days and a 2026 Chained Together run completed in roughly 22 hours. The Fortnite segment’s skill-dependent nature, combined with the pair’s coordination and viewer-driven momentum, supports expectations of efficient progression with limited eliminations. As of early September, the stream remains active without reported disruptions that would inflate totals, keeping higher brackets like 100-199 at just 11.5%. Resolution tracks the final cumulative death counter on Lacy’s or Marlon’s Twitch broadcast.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日<100 71%
100-199 13.6%
200-299 5.0%
300-399 3.9%
$54,963 Vol.
$54,963 Vol.
2026/09/30
<100
71%
100-199
14%
200-299
5%
300-399
4%
400-499
<1%
500-599
<1%
600-699
<1%
700-799
<1%
800-899
<1%
900-999
<1%
1000+
<1%
<100 71%
100-199 13.6%
200-299 5.0%
300-399 3.9%
$54,963 Vol.
$54,963 Vol.
2026/09/30
<100
$19,932 Vol.
71%
100-199
$10,526 Vol.
14%
200-299
$11,264 Vol.
5%
300-399
$2,811 Vol.
4%
400-499
$1,840 Vol.
<1%
500-599
$1,727 Vol.
<1%
600-699
$1,483 Vol.
<1%
700-799
$1,385 Vol.
<1%
800-899
$1,386 Vol.
<1%
900-999
$1,291 Vol.
<1%
1000+
$1,318 Vol.
<1%
Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft.
This market will resolve according to the number of Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.Lacy and Marlon launched their continuous gaming marathon on September 1, 2026, requiring back-to-back completions of Fortnite, Warzone, and Minecraft Hardcore on a single stream. Trader consensus heavily favors under 100 Fortnite deaths at 81.5% implied probability, reflecting Lacy’s established competitive pedigree as an FNCS champion and the duo’s prior endurance successes, including a 2025 Minecraft marathon finished in four days and a 2026 Chained Together run completed in roughly 22 hours. The Fortnite segment’s skill-dependent nature, combined with the pair’s coordination and viewer-driven momentum, supports expectations of efficient progression with limited eliminations. As of early September, the stream remains active without reported disruptions that would inflate totals, keeping higher brackets like 100-199 at just 11.5%. Resolution tracks the final cumulative death counter on Lacy’s or Marlon’s Twitch broadcast.
Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft.
This market will resolve according to the number of Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
This market will resolve according to the number of Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
マーケット開始日： Sep 1, 2026, 8:08 PM ET
音量
$54,963終了日
2026/10/01マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 8:08 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft.
This market will resolve according to the number of Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.Lacy and Marlon launched their continuous gaming marathon on September 1, 2026, requiring back-to-back completions of Fortnite, Warzone, and Minecraft Hardcore on a single stream. Trader consensus heavily favors under 100 Fortnite deaths at 81.5% implied probability, reflecting Lacy’s established competitive pedigree as an FNCS champion and the duo’s prior endurance successes, including a 2025 Minecraft marathon finished in four days and a 2026 Chained Together run completed in roughly 22 hours. The Fortnite segment’s skill-dependent nature, combined with the pair’s coordination and viewer-driven momentum, supports expectations of efficient progression with limited eliminations. As of early September, the stream remains active without reported disruptions that would inflate totals, keeping higher brackets like 100-199 at just 11.5%. Resolution tracks the final cumulative death counter on Lacy’s or Marlon’s Twitch broadcast.
Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft.
This market will resolve according to the number of Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
This market will resolve according to the number of Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
音量
$54,963終了日
2026/10/01マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 8:08 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Lacy and Marlon launched their continuous gaming marathon on September 1, 2026, requiring back-to-back completions of Fortnite, Warzone, and Minecraft Hardcore on a single stream. Trader consensus heavily favors under 100 Fortnite deaths at 81.5% implied probability, reflecting Lacy’s established competitive pedigree as an FNCS champion and the duo’s prior endurance successes, including a 2025 Minecraft marathon finished in four days and a 2026 Chained Together run completed in roughly 22 hours. The Fortnite segment’s skill-dependent nature, combined with the pair’s coordination and viewer-driven momentum, supports expectations of efficient progression with limited eliminations. As of early September, the stream remains active without reported disruptions that would inflate totals, keeping higher brackets like 100-199 at just 11.5%. Resolution tracks the final cumulative death counter on Lacy’s or Marlon’s Twitch broadcast.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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