Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those referenced by NOAA analogs and regional agencies, indicate a minimum temperature in Guangzhou on September 20 likely ranging from 26–28°C, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light southerly winds, elevated dew points near 25°C, and high humidity that limits overnight radiative cooling. Historical September averages hover near 24°C, but current conditions lack any approaching cold front or enhanced cloud cover that could produce sharper drops. This supports market-implied odds favoring outcomes around 27–28°C while the elevated probability on 21°C or below reflects model uncertainty ranges and potential for localized variability in urban heat island effects or brief showers. Official China Meteorological Administration reports and updated model runs expected overnight will refine resolution criteria for the daily low.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月20日の広州の最低気温は？
9月20日の広州の最低気温は？
21℃以下 100%
28℃ 48%
23°C 40%
24℃ 40%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
21℃以下
100%
22°C
10%
23°C
40%
24℃
40%
25℃
21%
26℃
22%
27℃
24%
28℃
28%
29℃
18%
30℃
18%
31℃以上
<1%
21℃以下 100%
28℃ 48%
23°C 40%
24℃ 40%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
21℃以下
$0 Vol.
100%
22°C
$0 Vol.
10%
23°C
$0 Vol.
40%
24℃
$0 Vol.
40%
25℃
$0 Vol.
21%
26℃
$0 Vol.
22%
27℃
$5 Vol.
24%
28℃
$34 Vol.
28%
29℃
$0 Vol.
18%
30℃
$0 Vol.
18%
31℃以上
$25 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those referenced by NOAA analogs and regional agencies, indicate a minimum temperature in Guangzhou on September 20 likely ranging from 26–28°C, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light southerly winds, elevated dew points near 25°C, and high humidity that limits overnight radiative cooling. Historical September averages hover near 24°C, but current conditions lack any approaching cold front or enhanced cloud cover that could produce sharper drops. This supports market-implied odds favoring outcomes around 27–28°C while the elevated probability on 21°C or below reflects model uncertainty ranges and potential for localized variability in urban heat island effects or brief showers. Official China Meteorological Administration reports and updated model runs expected overnight will refine resolution criteria for the daily low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$64終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those referenced by NOAA analogs and regional agencies, indicate a minimum temperature in Guangzhou on September 20 likely ranging from 26–28°C, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light southerly winds, elevated dew points near 25°C, and high humidity that limits overnight radiative cooling. Historical September averages hover near 24°C, but current conditions lack any approaching cold front or enhanced cloud cover that could produce sharper drops. This supports market-implied odds favoring outcomes around 27–28°C while the elevated probability on 21°C or below reflects model uncertainty ranges and potential for localized variability in urban heat island effects or brief showers. Official China Meteorological Administration reports and updated model runs expected overnight will refine resolution criteria for the daily low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$64終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models, including those referenced by NOAA analogs and regional agencies, indicate a minimum temperature in Guangzhou on September 20 likely ranging from 26–28°C, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light southerly winds, elevated dew points near 25°C, and high humidity that limits overnight radiative cooling. Historical September averages hover near 24°C, but current conditions lack any approaching cold front or enhanced cloud cover that could produce sharper drops. This supports market-implied odds favoring outcomes around 27–28°C while the elevated probability on 21°C or below reflects model uncertainty ranges and potential for localized variability in urban heat island effects or brief showers. Official China Meteorological Administration reports and updated model runs expected overnight will refine resolution criteria for the daily low.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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