National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), the authoritative station for resolution, recorded a minimum temperature of 72°F at approximately 7 AM EDT on April 29, 2026, locking in the 72-73°F outcome at 100% market-implied probability. This aligns precisely with pre-event ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models, which projected lows of 72-75°F amid persistent southerly winds, high humidity above 80%, and cloud cover limiting radiational cooling—conditions typical for late April in South Florida, where climatological overnight minimums average 71-72°F. Trader consensus reflects this verified data, with skin-in-the-game capital affirming the observation. Realistic challenges, such as rare post hoc sensor recalibrations by NOAA, are improbable given quality-controlled hourly reports.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Lowest temperature in Miami on April 29?
72-73°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$12,539 Vol.
$12,539 Vol.
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
Yes
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
No
72-73°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$12,539 Vol.
$12,539 Vol.
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
Yes
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), the authoritative station for resolution, recorded a minimum temperature of 72°F at approximately 7 AM EDT on April 29, 2026, locking in the 72-73°F outcome at 100% market-implied probability. This aligns precisely with pre-event ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models, which projected lows of 72-75°F amid persistent southerly winds, high humidity above 80%, and cloud cover limiting radiational cooling—conditions typical for late April in South Florida, where climatological overnight minimums average 71-72°F. Trader consensus reflects this verified data, with skin-in-the-game capital affirming the observation. Realistic challenges, such as rare post hoc sensor recalibrations by NOAA, are improbable given quality-controlled hourly reports.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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