Trader consensus has locked in at 100% probability for a lowest temperature of 52-53°F in New York City on May 4, 2026, driven by official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park ASOS station (KNYC), which recorded a minimum of 52°F during early morning hours. This measurement, captured via automated surface observing system protocols, aligns with preliminary hourly data showing temperatures dipping to 51-52°F around 5 AM amid clear skies and light winds that limited radiative cooling. For early May, this mild low exceeds the climatological average of around 50°F, consistent with persistent southerly flow and urban heat island effects. Realistic challenges are minimal post-observation, though a formal NWS audit could theoretically revise data if equipment anomalies are detected—unlikely given data consistency across nearby stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月4日のニューヨーク市の最低気温は？
5月4日のニューヨーク市の最低気温は？
52〜53°F 100.0%
43°F以下 <1%
44〜45°F <1%
46〜47°F <1%
$47,808 Vol.
$47,808 Vol.
2026/05/04
43°F以下
いいえ
44〜45°F
いいえ
46〜47°F
いいえ
48〜49°F
いいえ
50〜51°F
いいえ
52〜53°F
はい
54〜55°F
いいえ
56～57°F
いいえ
58〜59°F
いいえ
60～61°F
いいえ
華氏62度以上
いいえ
52〜53°F 100.0%
43°F以下 <1%
44〜45°F <1%
46〜47°F <1%
$47,808 Vol.
$47,808 Vol.
2026/05/04
43°F以下
$8,008 Vol.
いいえ
44〜45°F
$2,377 Vol.
いいえ
46〜47°F
$3,629 Vol.
いいえ
48〜49°F
$3,079 Vol.
いいえ
50〜51°F
$1,858 Vol.
いいえ
52〜53°F
$17,360 Vol.
はい
54〜55°F
$2,162 Vol.
いいえ
56～57°F
$2,660 Vol.
いいえ
58〜59°F
$936 Vol.
いいえ
60～61°F
$629 Vol.
いいえ
華氏62度以上
$5,111 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in at 100% probability for a lowest temperature of 52-53°F in New York City on May 4, 2026, driven by official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park ASOS station (KNYC), which recorded a minimum of 52°F during early morning hours. This measurement, captured via automated surface observing system protocols, aligns with preliminary hourly data showing temperatures dipping to 51-52°F around 5 AM amid clear skies and light winds that limited radiative cooling. For early May, this mild low exceeds the climatological average of around 50°F, consistent with persistent southerly flow and urban heat island effects. Realistic challenges are minimal post-observation, though a formal NWS audit could theoretically revise data if equipment anomalies are detected—unlikely given data consistency across nearby stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 2, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
音量
$47,808終了日
2026/05/04マーケット開始日
May 2, 2026, 12:01 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in at 100% probability for a lowest temperature of 52-53°F in New York City on May 4, 2026, driven by official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park ASOS station (KNYC), which recorded a minimum of 52°F during early morning hours. This measurement, captured via automated surface observing system protocols, aligns with preliminary hourly data showing temperatures dipping to 51-52°F around 5 AM amid clear skies and light winds that limited radiative cooling. For early May, this mild low exceeds the climatological average of around 50°F, consistent with persistent southerly flow and urban heat island effects. Realistic challenges are minimal post-observation, though a formal NWS audit could theoretically revise data if equipment anomalies are detected—unlikely given data consistency across nearby stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$47,808終了日
2026/05/04マーケット開始日
May 2, 2026, 12:01 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Trader consensus has locked in at 100% probability for a lowest temperature of 52-53°F in New York City on May 4, 2026, driven by official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park ASOS station (KNYC), which recorded a minimum of 52°F during early morning hours. This measurement, captured via automated surface observing system protocols, aligns with preliminary hourly data showing temperatures dipping to 51-52°F around 5 AM amid clear skies and light winds that limited radiative cooling. For early May, this mild low exceeds the climatological average of around 50°F, consistent with persistent southerly flow and urban heat island effects. Realistic challenges are minimal post-observation, though a formal NWS audit could theoretically revise data if equipment anomalies are detected—unlikely given data consistency across nearby stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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